Friday, March 30, 2012

BSP’s Future: Calculations without Vision

Bahujan Samaj Party’s rout in Uttar Pradesh assembly elections in terms of seats has sparked a discussion on its future. The debate is centred, and rightly so, not on whether BSP will survive in U.P. but on what are its prospects beyond this state. About 26% vote share that it has received in just concluded assembly elections in U.P. indicates its strong organization and equally strong core support base in the form of Dalit population in the state. In terms of electoral calculations, it is forgone conclusion that BSP will make a strong comeback in the state sooner than later, if disenchantment grows against the incumbent S.P. government.
However, one must raise few questions with regard to BSP’s dependence on TINA (there is no alternative) factor in case of anti-incumbency wave. Should BSP be satisfied with once in-once out kind of electoral arrangement in the state? If Left had ruled in West Bengal for uninterrupted 34 years, and, thus, maintained whopping 40% vote share in the state at a time of its worst electoral debacle, what prevents the BSP in making such bold attempts in Uttar Pradesh? Many expected that Mayawateeji would defeat the anti-incumbency logic based on her administrative performance and social engineering. While her administrative skills are appreciated even by her critics, this can never be a sufficient condition for an incumbent government to win the election, particularly where nature of the State essentially remains in the domain of development and social welfare. This implies that the government should initiate and successfully implement certain welfare schemes that would benefit cross sections of social segments in the state. Even though, BSP has maintained that its government was in the interest of Sarvajan, election results showed that there was hardly any programme that had left its impression on non-Dalit population in the state.
In the case of social engineering, it could be interpreted by U.P. election results that political coalition of social forces purely based on caste identities could become counter-productive. In 2007, even though BSP benefitted by Dalit-Brahmin combination, it was the Brahmin population that was empowered in terms of vote bank. It’s obvious that such empowered community would demand its pound of flesh, and no matter what it gets would remain unsatisfied, and shift loyalties in next elections. However, if Mayawateeji would have succeeded in implementing programmes beneficial to the poor in the state, there could have been divisions among Brahmin ranks and file to the advantage of BSP. The long term social engineering needs to be based on socio-economic conditions within the community identity. BSP is not alien to such formula in Uttar Pradesh as it has definitely been enjoying substantial support of lower rank OBCs in the state. Similarly, BSP would benefit if it shows consistency in taking up the social and economic issues of OBCs among the Muslims. The OBC Muslims, like the lower rank Hindu OBCs, are natural ally of BSP. Thus, a meaningful and sustainable social engineering, with Dalit in its core, can take place if BSP pays attention to aligning with socially and/or economically deprived segments in other social communities. In Bihar, Nitish Kumar has certainly succeeded in creating similar kind of social coalition in support of his government in the state. However, he also lacks to offer an economic programme for this coalition, which has come into existence in an attempt to assert their identities against established dominant political formation of resourceful OBCs and upper-caste Muslims in the state.
While such a coalition of deprived sections is desirable and achievable in Uttar Pradesh, the Kanshiramji’s party is far away from attracting non-Dalit social groups into its fold in other states. There are several reasons for this. First, the alarmed Congress and BJP have made it a point to provide considerable representation to Dalit leadership in party organizations, state machinery and ministries in respective states to prevent BSP from cashing on en-block Dalit votes. Second, BSP has not evolved a tactic to adjust in the regions, like western and central India, where Dalits have converted to Buddhism in large numbers. There is a trust deficit between BSP leadership and neo-Buddhist which has become a stumbling block for BSP to grow in these regions. Third, BSP’s inability to develop Mayawatee-like strong leaderships in other states adds to lack of its credibility as a formative political force in respective states. Fourth, BSP’s apathy towards intellectuals, even those sympathetic to it, is not helping it in any way as the politics remains argumentative in India at many levels. However, BSP’s unwillingness to develop and demand an alternative to existing political and economic system in the country is the main hurdle in its growth at national level. The incumbent political and economic system has been designed to maintain hegemony of dominant social forces in the country as represented by Congress and BJP at the national level. Political fight against Congress and BJP requires struggle for radical structural changes in the realms of economics and political system. Without taking up several issues related to it, like electoral reforms or distribution of excessive wealth, it would not be possible for BSP or any other forces to rally the deprived sections behind it. The present system, with all its positives, only permits existence of diverse political options but would not allow shaping up of credible alternative to Congress or BJP at the national level.
Lenin’s saying that ‘Without revolutionary theory, there can not be a revolutionary movement,’ applies to all the forces that wish to bring in fundamental changes in human society to achieve equality, dignity and progress. Any political formation showing the mettle to develop such a revolutionary theory in Indian context has the future, be it BSP, SP or the Left, although this road is most arduous and least chosen.

Friday, March 23, 2012

श्रीलंकेच्या वांशिक प्रश्नांवर मनमोहन सरकारची कसोटी

श्रीलंकेतील राजापक्ष यांच्या सरकारला, तमिळ अल्पसंख्यकांच्या गंभीर समस्यांबाबत संवेदनशील करून वांशिक संघर्षावर राजकीय तोडगा काढण्याच्या हेतूने त्यांच्यावर आंतरराष्ट्रीय दबाव आणण्यासाठीचा ठराव, संयुक्त राष्ट्राच्या मानवी अधिकार परिषदेने २२ मार्च, २०१२ रोजी बहुमताने पारित केला. तामिळनाडू राज्यातील राजकीय पक्षांनी डॉ. मनमोहन सिंग यांच्या सरकारवर या ठरावाच्या बाजूने मतदान करण्यासाठी प्रचंड दबाव आणल्यामुळे श्रीलंका सरकार प्रमाणे भारत सरकारसाठी हा अमेरिका-धार्जिणा ठराव गळ्यातील हाड बनला होता. अखेर, केंद्रातील संयुक्त पुरोगामी आघाडीच्या सरकारने ठरावाच्या मूळ मसुद्यात २ दुरुस्त्या घडवून आणत पाश्चिमात्य देशाच्या बाजूने मतदान केले. एखाद्या विशिष्ट देशासंबंधीत ठराव असेल तर त्याला पाठिंबा द्यायचा नाही या आपल्या परंपरागत धोरणाला भारत सरकारने या वेळी बगल दिल्यामुळे काही मुलभूत प्रश्न उभे राहिले आहेत. एक, हा निर्णय फक्त तामिळनाडूतील राजकीय पक्षांच्या दबावाखाली, म्हणजेच सरकार वाचवण्यासाठी, घेण्यात आला की व्यापक राष्ट्रीय हिताचा विचार करण्यात आला? दोन, तमिळनाडूतील बहुसंख्यांक लोकांच्या भावना आणि भारताचे राष्ट्रीय हित या मध्ये विरोधाभास आहे का? तीन, संयुक्त राष्ट्राच्या वेगवेगळ्या समित्या आणि परिषदांमध्ये शक्यतोवर अमेरिका विरोधात भूमिका घ्यायची नाही हे धोरण डॉ. सिंग यांच्या सरकारने अंगिकारले आहे का?
अमेरिका आणि युरोपीय संघाने पुढाकार घेतल्यानंतर त्यांच्या ठरावावर भूमिका घेणे गैर सोयीचे आहे आणि आंतरराष्ट्रीय समुदायाला चुकीचा संदेश देणारे आहे. मागील महिनाभराच्या काळात आंतरराष्ट्रीय समित्यांमध्ये दुसऱ्यांदा भारताने अमेरिकेने मांडलेल्या ठरावाच्या समर्थनात आणि रशिया-चीन यांच्या भूमिकेच्या विरोधात मतदान केले आहे. संयुक्त राष्ट्र सुरक्षा परिषदेत सिरीयावरील ठरावात भारताने आपली भूमिका बदलत पाश्चिमात्य देशांच्या बाजूने मतदान केले होते. काही वर्षे आधी इराण बाबत भारताने याच प्रकारे भूमिका घेतली होती. आंतरराष्ट्रीय विषयांबाबत देशांतर्गत चर्चा घडवून आणून विविध पक्षांच्या भूमिकेत समन्वय आणत राष्ट्रीय भूमिका तयार करून त्याचा पाठपुरावा करण्याचा लोकशाही मार्ग संयुक्त पुरोगामी सरकारने केव्हाच मोडीस काढला आहे. त्यामुळे, प्रत्येक वेळी सरकारने निर्णय घेतल्यानंतर तो चूक की बरोबर या वर वाद-विवाद होत आहेत. मात्र, प्रत्यक्ष निर्णय घेण्याआधी काय राष्ट्रीय हिताचे आहे या वर चर्चा होत नाही आहे. अशा कार्य पद्धतीमुळे सरकारचे हेतू आणि कुवत या दोन्ही बाबतीत शंका उपस्थित होत आहेत. या कार्य पद्धतीमुळे योग्य निर्णय घेतला तरी आरोपांच्या कठघऱ्यात सरकारला कायम उभे राहावे लागत आहे.
मानवी हक्क परिषदेच्या घटनेनुसार आशिया आणि आफ्रिका खंडातील प्रत्येकी १३ देश, पूर्व युरोप प्रदेशातील ६ देश, लैटीन अमेरिका आणि कैरेबियन प्रदेशातील ८ देश, आणि पश्चिम युरोप आणि उर्वरीत जगातील ७ देश याचे सदस्य असतात. सदस्यांची निवड संयुक्त राष्ट्राच्या सर्वसाधारण सभेत, म्हणजे १९३ देशांद्वारे ३ वर्षांकरीता होते. सदस्य सलग दोनदा परिषदेवर निवडून येऊ शकतात. ४७ देश सदस्य असलेल्या संयुक्त राष्ट्र मानवी अधिकार परिषदेत या ठरावाच्या बाजूने २४, विरोधात १५ आणि ८ देशांनी तठस्थ मतदान केले. २४ समर्थक देशांच्या तुलनेत १५ विरोधक आणि ८ तठस्थ असे २३ देशांनी ठरावाचे समर्थन केले नाही ही श्रीलंकेसाठी जमेची बाजू आहे. भारताने जर विरोधात मतदान करण्याचा किव्हा तठस्थ राहण्याचा निर्णय घेतला असता तर २३ देश ठरावाच्या बाजूने आणि २४ देश ठरावाच्या विरोधात किव्हा तठस्थ असा निर्णय लागून तो श्रीलंकेसाठी मोठा नैतिक विजय झाला असता. भारत वगळता इतर सर्व आशिआई देशांनी ठरावाच्या विरोधात, म्हणजे श्रीलंका सरकारच्या बाजूने मतदान केले. याचा अर्थ असा सुद्धा आहे की भारताला स्वत:च्या भूमिकेबाबत इतर आशिआई देशांना समजवता आले नाही किव्हा तसे करण्याची तसदी सरकारने घेतली नाही. विशेषत: चीन आणि पाकिस्तान ने श्रीलंकेच्या बाजूने मतदान केल्याने या पुढे या दोन्ही देशांचा श्रीलंकेतील प्रभाव वाढून भारताचा प्रभाव कमी होईल अशी भीती व्यक्त करण्यात येत आहे. मात्र, श्रीलंकेची भारताशी असलेली भौगोलिक जवळीक, भारताची त्या देशातील आर्थिक गुंतवणूक आणि सदृढ द्वि-पक्षीय आर्थिक व्यापार, श्रीलंकेच्या पर्यटन क्षेत्राची भारतीय पर्यटकांवर असलेली भिस्त आणि फार ताणून धरल्यास श्रीलंकेतील तमिळ संघटनांना हाती धरून सिंहली-बहुल सरकारच्या नाकी नऊ आणण्याची भारताची क्षमता या बाबी लक्षात घेतल्यास भारत सरकारने चीन आणि पाकिस्तानच्या बागुलबुव्याला गरजेपेक्षा जास्त महत्व न देणे उचितच आहे. मात्र, श्रीलंका सरकारवरील दबाव वाढवण्यासाठी मालदीव, बांग्ला देश, इंडोनेशिया आदी आशिआई देशांना भारत सरकारने विश्वासात घ्यायला हरकत नव्हती. खरे तर, अमेरिकेऐवजी भारताने आधीपासून पुढाकार घेऊन वांशिक संघर्ष राजकीय पर्यायातून सोडवण्यासाठी श्रीलंकेवर क्षेत्रीय आणि आंतरराष्ट्रीय दबाव आणायची गरज होती.
श्रीलंकेतील वांशिक संघर्षाचा परिणाम भारतावर आणि क्षेत्रीय शांततेवर होत आला आहे. स्वातंत्रपूर्व काळात ब्रिटिशांनी तमिळनाडूतील मजुरांना मोठ्या प्रमाणात चहाच्या मळ्यात काम करण्यासाठी श्रीलंकेत नेऊन तिथे वसवले होते. यामुळे, भारताच्या दक्षिणेतील तमिळ आणि श्रीलंकेतील उत्तरेकडचे तमिळ यांच्यात कौटुंबिक आणि भावनिक बंध खोलवर रुजलेले आहेत. श्रीलंकेतील तमिळ जनतेवर सिंहली राष्ट्रवादाचा पुरस्कार करणाऱ्या राजकीय संघटनांकडून अन्याय होत आला आहे. सिंहली जनतेच्या तुलनेत तमिळ लोकांची स्थिती शिक्षण, व्यापार-व्यवसाय, राजकारण, सरकारी नौकऱ्या, आरोग्य अशी सर्वच क्षेत्रात मागासलेली आहे. सिंहली बहुसंख्येने असल्यामुळे श्रीलंकेतील राजकारण्यांनी तमिळ प्रदेशांकडे आणि त्यांच्या आकांक्षांकडे नेहमीच दुर्लक्ष केले. त्यात तिथे असलेल्या राष्ट्राध्यक्षीय पद्धतीत संसदेला कमी अधिकार असल्यामुळे तमिळ प्रतिनिधींच्या मताला फारशी किमंत देण्यात आली नाही. राष्ट्राध्यक्षीय पदाचे सर्वच उमेदवार प्रखर सिंहली राष्ट्रवादाच्या भूमिकेला प्राधान्य देत आले आहेत. त्यामुळे तमिळ लोकांमध्ये राष्ट्रीय प्रवाहातून वगळल्याची भावना प्रबळ झाली. सन १९८३ मध्ये श्रीलंकेची राजधानी कोलंबो आणि इतरत्र मोठ्या प्रमाणात तमिळ-विरोधी दंगली होऊन सरकारी प्रशासनाच्या मदतीने सिंहली माथेफिरूंनी सर्रास तमिळ जनतेच्या कत्तली केल्या आणि त्यांची संपत्ती लुटली.
या नंतर तमिळ इलम, म्हणजे स्वतंत्र तमिळ देशाच्या मागणीने जोर पकडला. श्रीलंकेमध्ये सिंहली राष्ट्रवादामुळे तमिळ लोकांना न्याय मिळू शकत नाही या भावनेतून लिट्टे सारख्या संघटनांचा जन्म झाला. भारत सरकारने सुद्धा सुरुवातीच्या काळात लिट्टे ला खतपाणी घातले. मात्र, नंतर लिट्टे प्रमुख प्रभाकरन ने इतर सर्व तमिळ संघटना आणि नेत्यांचा नायनाट करत तमिळ प्रदेशावर आपले एक छत्री राज्य निर्माण करण्याच्या प्रयत्न सुरु केला. याची श्रीलंकेतील तमिळ जनतेला मोठी किमंत चुकवावी लागली. श्रीलंकेतील तमिळ राजकारण्यांची एक मोठी फळी लिट्टेने नष्ट केली. लिट्टे ने भारतीय वंशाचे तमिळ, मुस्लीम तमिळ आणि श्रीलंकन तमिळ असा भेदभाव करण्यास सुरुवात केली. त्यांच्या दहशतवादी तंत्रांमुळे श्रीलंकेतील आणि जगभरातील पुरोगामी संघटना तमिळ हक्कांच्या मुद्द्यावर बचावात्मक पवित्र्यात गेल्या होत्या. भारताचे माजी पंतप्रधान राजीव गांधी यांची हत्या करून लिट्टे ने भारतीयांची उरली-सुरली सहानुभूती सुद्धा गमावली होती.
या पार्श्वभूमीवर, सन २००९ मध्ये ज्या वेळी राजपक्ष सरकारने लिट्टे विरुद्ध निर्णायक युद्ध पुकारले त्या वेळी भारतासह सगळ्याच देशांनी श्रीलंकेच्या लष्कराने केलेल्या निर्घुणतेकडे आणि युद्ध काळातील आंतरराष्ट्रीय कायद्यांच्या उल्लंघनाबाबत नरो वा कुंजरोवा भूमिका घेतली होती. लिट्टेची अराजकता आणि सरकारी यंत्रणेची निर्घुणता या मध्ये फसलेल्या तमिळ जनतेचे श्रीलंकेच्या लोकसंख्येतील प्रमाण २ दशकात १३ टक्क्यांहून ८ टक्क्यांवर आले आहे. युद्धानंतर जाफना या मुख्य तमिळ बाहुल्याच्या शहरात फक्त महिला आणि वृद्ध उरले आहेत. हजारो तमिळ युवक बेपत्ता आहेत किव्हा बेकायदेशीररीत्या लष्कराने त्यांना बंदी बनवले आहे. लिट्टेचा नायनाट होऊन प्रभाकरन ठार झाल्यानंतर श्रीलंकेच्या लष्कराने युध्द काळात तमिळ जनतेवर केलेल्या अत्याचाराची चौकशी झाली पाहिजे या मागणीने जोर पकडला होता. भारतासह अनेक युरोपीय देशांनी या साठी श्रीलंकेवर दबाव आणल्यानंतर राजपक्ष यांनी एल.एल.आर.सी. (Lessons Learned and Reconciliation Commission) या सरकारी प्रभावाखालील चौकशी समितीची नेमणूक केली होती. डिसेंबर २०११ मध्ये एल.एल.आर.सी. ने आपला अहवाल सादर केला ज्या मध्ये लिट्टे आणि लष्कर असे दोन्ही बाजूंनी मोठ्या प्रमाणात मानवी हक्कांचे उल्लंघन झाले असे म्हटले आहे. या अहवालाच्या शिफारसींवर अंमल करण्यासाठी सरकारने ३ उप-समित्या नेमल्या आहेत, मात्र प्रत्यक्षात दोषी व्यक्तींवर कारवाई करण्यासाठी अद्याप ठोस पाउले उचललेली नाहीत.
अनेक युरोपीय देशांमध्ये तमिळ शरणार्थी मोठ्या प्रमाणात आहेत. त्यांची सहानुभूती तमिळ इलमच्या मागणीला आहे आणि साहजिकच श्रीलंका सरकारवर त्यांचा राग आहे. अशा अनेक तमिळ गटांचा युरोपीय देशांच्या सरकारवर श्रीलंकेतील तामिळांच्या मागण्यांबाबत दबाव असतो आणि राजकीय पक्षांची त्यांना सहानुभूती असते. मानवी हक्क परिषदेतील सद्द्य ठराव हा त्याचीच परिणीती आहे. यापूर्वी, नॉर्वे ने अनेक वर्षे श्रीलंका सरकार आणि लिट्टे यांच्या मध्ये मध्यस्थता करण्याचे अधिकृत प्रयत्न केले होते. मात्र, दोन्ही पक्षांचे मनसुबे शांततापूर्ण तोडगा काढण्याऐवजी एकमेकांना संपविण्याचेच होते. त्यामुळे, सन १९८७ च्या भारत-श्रीलंका शांती कराराप्रमाणे नॉर्वे ला प्रत्येक वेळी तोंडघशी पडावे लागले. अत्यंत हिंसक आणि एककल्ली भूमिका घेणाऱ्या लिट्टे चा आता नायनाट झाला आहे. मात्र, तेवढ्याच हिंसक आणि वर्चस्ववादी मनोवृत्तीच्या सिंहली राजकारणाचा श्रीलंकेतील प्रभाव अद्याप कायम आहे. भारत आणि इतर देशांचा दबाव नसेल तर श्रीलंकेत तमिळ लोकांवरील अत्याचार वाढण्याचीच शक्यता जास्त आहे. या पार्श्वभूमीवर, भारताने श्रीलंका सरकारची बाजू न घेणे योग्यच आहे. या शिवाय, दहशतवादी संघटनांचा बिमोड करतांना मानवी हक्कांची पायमल्ली होणार नाही याबाबत भारत संवेदनशील आहे आणि सरकारी यंत्रणेतील व्यक्तींकडून जाणीवपूर्वक मानवी हक्कांची अवहेलना झाली तर त्यांच्यावर कायदेशीर कारवाई करण्यास सरकार मागे-पुढे पाहणार नाही असा संदेश सुद्धा भारताने आंतरराष्ट्रीय समुदायाला दिला आहे.
संयुक्त राष्ट्र मानवी हक्क परिषदेच्या ठरावात श्रीलंकेच्या सरकारला निष्पक्ष चौकशी द्वारे युद्ध गुन्हेगारांवर कारवाई करण्याचे आव्हान करण्यात आले आहे. भारताने घडवून आणलेल्या दुरुस्तांमुळे मानवी हक्कांच्या अंमलबजावणी बाबत संयुक्त राष्ट्राच्या मानवी हक्क उच्चायुक्ताला श्रीलंकेच्या सरकारला विश्वासात घेणे गरजेचे करण्यात आले आहे. यामुळे श्रीलंकेच्या सार्वभौमित्वावर घाला येणार नाही याची काळजी घेण्यात आल्याचे भारत सरकारचे म्हणणे आहे. श्रीलंकेने परिषदेच्या ठरावानुसार कारवाई न केल्यास त्याला मानवी हक्क परिषदेतून निलंबित करण्याची कारवाई संयुक्त राष्ट्राच्या सर्व साधारण सभेत सुरु करता येऊ शकते. मात्र, तो पर्यंत कोणतीही बाजू हा मुद्दा ताणून धरेल अशी शक्यता नाही.
श्रीलंकेच्या सरकारची भूमिका आर्थिक विकास आणि स्थानिक स्वराज्य संस्था यांच्या माध्यमातून तमिळ जनतेला मुख्य प्रवाहात आणण्याची आहे. मात्र, युद्ध-गुन्हेगारांना शिक्षा, युद्धग्रस्तांचे पुनर्वसन, मानवी हक्कांचे संरक्षण आणि सत्तेचे विकेंद्रीकरण या ३ बाबींचे पालन केल्याशिवाय श्रीलंकेतील वांशिक संघर्षावर तोडगा निघणे शक्य नाही. राजकीय अधिकारांच्या विकेंद्रीकरणाबाबत श्रीलंकेची भूमिका अजिबात विश्वासार्ह नाही. भारताला या संदर्भात अनेकदा लेखी आश्वासन देऊन सुद्धा श्रीलंकेने प्रांतांना, विशेषत: तमिळ-बहुल प्रांतांना अधिक अधिकार प्रदान करण्याच्या दिशेने ठोस पाउले उचललेली नाहीत. युद्धातील निर्णायक विजयामुळे सिंहली वर्चस्वाच्या धुंदीत मस्त झालेल्या राजपक्ष सरकारचा हेतू महत्वाच्या मुद्द्यांबाबत फक्त चालढकल करण्याचा असेल तर लिट्टे सारखी संघटना पुन्हा उभी राहण्यास वेळ लागणार नाही. इतिहासाची आणि इतिहासातील चुकांची पुनरावृत्ती टाळायची असेल तर भारताने श्रीलंकेतील वांशिक संघर्षाच्या मुद्द्यावर अधिक सक्रीय, पण प्रत्यक्ष हस्तक्षेप न करणारी, भूमिका पार पाडण्याची आवश्यकता आहे.

Tuesday, March 20, 2012

राजनितीक मूल्य बनाम जोड़ तोड़ की राजनिती

उत्तर प्रदेश विधान सभा चुनाव में समाजवादी पार्टी को मिला स्पष्ट बहुमत उभरते हुए राष्ट्रीय राजनितीक परिदृश्य की झांकी हैI आज उत्तर प्रदेश, बिहार और तमिलनाडू इन ३ बड़े राज्यों मे कांग्रेस पुरी तरह से हाशिये पर आ गयी हैI वही आंध्र प्रदेश में वह जबरदस्त हार की कगार पर है और गुजरात, छत्तीसगढ़ तथा ओडिशा में उसका भविष्य अन्धकार में हैI महाराष्ट्र तथा पश्चिम बंगाल में उसे राष्ट्रवादी कांग्रेस और तृणमूल कांग्रेस के सहारे ही आने वाले दिनों में सत्ता में बने रहना होगा जहाँ जनता के पास भारतीय जनता पार्टी का विकल्प भी मौजूद हैI कांग्रेस के खिलाफ गैर-भाजपा प्रादेशिक पार्टियाँ चुनावों मे अच्छा प्रदर्शन कर रही हैI इसका मतलब साफ़ है की जिस विचारधारा के बीज राममनोहर लोहिया ने बोये थे वह अपनी जड़े फैला रही हैI लेकिन लोहियावादी विचारधारा का एक भी विकल्प राष्ट्रीय स्तर पर उभरकर क्यों नहीं आ पाता है? दर असल, भारत की सामाजिक विविधता का सम्मान और अधिकार लोहियावादी विचारधारा का एक केंद्र बिंदु रहा हैI इसके चलते उसे एक ही राजनितीक दल या एक ही राजनितीक परिवार के अधिकार क्षेत्र में सीमित कर देना संभव नहीं हैI लोहियावादी राजनीती के केन्द्रीकरण की कोशिशे सामाजिक और राजनितीक सत्ता के विकेंद्रीकरण के लोहियावादी सिद्धांत के खिलाफ जाने वाली हैI आजादी के बाद कई साल तक भारत में राज्यसंस्था और लोकतान्त्रिक सरकार इन के बीच आम जनता फर्क नहीं करती थीI इसलिए, भारत की एकता और अखंडता बनाये रखने के लिए एक ही राजनितीक पक्ष की सरकार चुनकर देना जनता उचित समझती थीI अब यह बात साफ़ हो रही है की भारत की राज्यसंस्था काफी मजबूत है और राजनितीक अनिश्चता का बुरा असर राज्य संस्था की स्थिरता पर पड़ने की सम्भावनाये न के बराबर हैI प्रादेशिक अस्मिता की सोच देश के विभाजन में तब्दील हो सकती है यह कांग्रेसी प्रचार अब फिका होने लगा हैI दक्षिण में द्रविड़ी आन्दोलन, आसाम का छात्र आन्दोलन या पंजाब के खालिस्तानी आन्दोलन की वजह से देश विभाजीत होने का डर दिखाकर कांग्रेस १९८० के दशक तक तो वोट बटोर पाती थी, पर अब यह स्पष्ट है की केंद्र में किसी भी गठबंधन की सरकार रहे या कोई भी प्रधान मंत्री बने, भारत की राज्यसंस्था अखंडता के मुद्दे पर कोई समझोता नहीं कर सकती हैI परिणामत: जनता आर्थिक उन्नती और सामाजिक न्याय इन मुद्दो को प्राथमिकता दे रही हैI उत्तर प्रदेश में बहुजन समाज पार्टी की हार का एक सबक यह भी है की सिर्फ सामाजिक न्याय का मुद्दा अब सत्ता में बने रहने के लिए पर्याप्त नहीं हैI बिहार में लालू प्रसाद यादव की राजनीती हाशिये पर आने की सबसे बड़ी वजह यही है की आर्थिक उन्नती के पहलू को उन्होंने दरकिनार कर दिया थाI आज अखिलेश यादव के सामने जो ३ सबसे बड़ी चुनौतियाँ है वह यही है की राज्य में कानून और व्यवस्था बनाये रखे, सामाजिक समता के आन्दोलन में बाधा न आने दे और जनता की आर्थिक उन्नती की योजनाये अमल में लायेI
इस परिदृश में समाजवादी पार्टी तथा लोहियावाद का प्रतिनिधित्व करनेवाली अन्य प्रदेशो की राजनितिक दलों को गरीबी निर्मूलन को अपना केन्द्रीय मुद्दा बनाने की जरूरत हैI जिस तीसरे या चौथे मोर्चे की चर्चा बार-बार होती रहती है वह न तो किसी एक पार्टी के इर्द गिर्द खड़ा होने वाला है और न ही किसे एक नेता के पीछे लामबंद होने वाला हैI लेकिन कुछ मुलभुत मुद्दों की अगुवाई में वह निश्चित ही खडा हो सकता हैI जिसमे शीर्ष पर गरीबी निर्मूलन ही हो सकता हैI इसके अलावा सामाजिक न्याय, कानून और व्यवस्था तथा धर्मनिरपेक्षता यह अन्य ३ पहलू इसमे जुड़ने चाहिएI यदी इन ४ उद्देशो के प्रती समर्पित होकर कोई राजनितीक ताकत उभरती है तो देश भर में बिखरे हुए वाम आन्दोलन और दलों को भी इसमे शामिल होने का मौका मिल सकता हैI विचारधारा और उद्देशो के बगैर किसी भी पार्टी का लम्बे समय तक अस्तित्व बना रहना या किसी नए मोर्चे की विशात बिछाना संभव नहीं हैI केवल वोट और सीटों के जोड़ तोड़ के समीकरण से पर्यायी विकल्प खड़े नहीं हो सकते हैI अगले आम चुनावों के बाद, वह समय पर हो या जल्दी, नितीश कुमार, मुलायम सिंह, बीजू पटनायक , जयललिता यह सारे कद्दावर नेता राष्ट्रीय राजनीती के केंद्र में होंगे. तब तक क्या इन नेताओं मे और उनकी अगुवाई वाले राजनितीक दलों मे कम से कम इतनी समझदारी उभर पायेगी की मुल्यों पर आधारित राजनिती करने से वह लम्बे समय तक राष्ट्रीय राजनीती में प्रभाव जमाये रख सकते हैI

Thursday, March 15, 2012

चीनची इंटरनेट क्रांती

पश्चिम आशिया आणि त्या पाठोपाठ रशियामध्ये प्रस्थापित सत्ताधिशांविरुद्धचा जनाक्रोष व्यक्त करण्यासाठी इंटरनेट माध्यमाचा प्रभावीपणे उपयोग होत असतांना चीनमध्येसुद्धा इंटरनेटच्या प्रसारामुळे साम्यवादी नेतृत्वाच्या एक-पक्षीय राजवटीविरुद्ध संघटीत आंदोलन उभे राहू शकते असा कयास वारंवार व्यक्त होत आहे. चीनच्या राजकीय नेतृत्वालासुद्धा त्याची पुरेपूर जाणीव असल्याने राज्ययंत्रणेची पकड इंटरनेटवरून सैल होऊ नये याची खबरदारी सातत्याने बाळगण्यात येत आहे. चीनने १९७८ नंतर काळजीपूर्वक मुक्त अर्थव्यवस्थेच्या धोरणांचा स्विकार केल्यानंतर या धोरणांच्या परिणामी कालांतराने चीनमध्ये बहु-पक्षीय लोकशाहीची रुजुवात होईल अशी भाबडी आशा आणि तसा प्रचार पाश्चिमात्य माध्यमांद्वारे करण्यात येत होता. तैवान आणि दक्षिण कोरियात भांडवली अर्थव्यवस्था रुजल्यानंतर वेगाने औद्योगिकीकरण होऊन हुकुमशाही राज्यव्यवस्थांची जागा बहुपक्षीय लोकशाहीने घेतल्यानंतर चीन मध्ये त्याच धर्तीवर बदल घडतील असा आशावाद बळकट झाला होता. मात्र जगाच्या अनेक भागांमध्ये राजकीय आणि आर्थिक उलथापालथ झाली तरी चीनच्या साम्यवादी पक्षाने कित्येक अंतर्गत कलह आणि विरोधांना तोंड देत राज्यसत्तेवरील आपला एक-हस्ती वरचष्मा अद्याप कायम ठेवला आहे.

मुक्त अर्थव्यवस्थेच्या धोरणांमुळे चीनमध्ये उदयास येत असलेल्या अभिजनवर्गाच्या अभिव्यक्तीला आता इंटरनेटची साथ मिळाल्याने सत्तावर्ग आणि अभिजनवर्ग यांच्यातील संघर्ष अधिक धारदार होऊन चीनमध्ये राजकीय बदल घडू शकतील अशी शक्यता अनेक समाजशास्त्रज्ञ आणि राजकीय पंडित व्यक्त करीत आहेत. एकीकडे, अनिर्बंध इंटरनेट वापराला परवानगी दिल्यास साम्यवादी राजवटीचे विरोधक आंदोलन उभे करण्यासाठी त्याचा उपयोग करतील अशी भीती चीनच्या नेत्यांना आहे, तर दुसरीकडे, इंटरनेटवर अधिक बंधने लादल्यास आर्थिक विकासाला खिळ बसून साम्यवादी पक्षाचा हुकुमी एक्काच हातातून निघून जाईल याची धास्ती आहे. मात्र साम्यवादी पक्षासाठी आणि एकंदरीतच आधुनिक चीनच्या राज्यकर्त्यांसाठी ही द्विधा परिस्थिती नवी नाही. १९ व्या शतकात ओपियम युद्धात पाश्चिमात्य देशांकडून आणि नंतर जपानकडून युद्धात दारूण पराभव झाल्यानंतर चीनच्या राज्यकर्त्यांनी 'थी' आणि 'योंग' धोरणाचा पुरस्कार केला होता. चीनच्या प्राचीन संस्कृतीचा 'थी' म्हणजे पाया आणि प्रगत पाश्चिमात्य देशांचे 'योंग' म्हणजे आधुनिक यांत्रिक पद्धती यांच्या समन्वयातून चीनला बलशाही करण्याचे राज्यकर्त्यांचे मनसुबे होते. याच प्रकारे, सन १९७८ नंतर डेंग शियोपिंग ने आर्थिक सुधारणांचा पुरस्कार करतांना समाजवादी राज्यव्यवस्थेचा 'पाया' आणि भांडवली अर्थव्यवस्थेच्या 'पद्धती' यांच्या मिलापाने चीनच्या आर्थिक विकासाची मुहूर्तमेढ रोवली होती. याच विचारसरणीतून चीन ने १९८० च्या दशकात माहिती तंत्रज्ञान विकसित करण्यासाठी पाउले उचलण्यास सुरुवात केली होती. पाश्चिमात्य देशांच्या आर्थिक विकासात आणि आधुनिक युद्धतंत्रात माहिती-तंत्रज्ञानाच्या योगदानाबद्दल चीनचे राज्यकर्ते अवगत होते. प्रगत देश आणि चीन यांच्या दरम्यानची आर्थिक विकासाची दरी माहिती-तंत्रज्ञानाच्या सहाय्याने नाहीशी करता येऊ शकते याचे आकलन चीनला होऊ लागले होते. १९ व्या आणि २० व्या शतकात चुकलेली आर्थिक प्रगतीची गाडी माहिती तंत्रज्ञानामुळे पुन्हा पकडता येणे शक्य आहे याची खात्री पटल्याने चीन ने दिरंगाई न करता त्या दिशेने पाऊले टाकण्यास सुरुवात केली होती. चीनमध्ये इंटरनेटच्या विकासाचे ४ महत्वपूर्ण टप्पे आहेत.

१. सन १९८६ - १९९१: बिजींग कॉम्पुटर अप्लीकेशन टेक्नोलोजी इंस्टीटयुट मधील शास्त्रज्ञांनी (तेव्हाच्या) पश्चिम जर्मनीतील कार्लसृह विद्यापीठाच्या मदतीने CANet (चायना अकॅडेमिक नेटवर्क) प्रकल्प सुरु केला. २० सप्टेंबर १९८७ रोजी चीनमधून जर्मन विद्यापीठांच्या नेटवर्क वर पहिला इ-मेल पाठवण्यात आला ज्यात लिहिले होते "Cross the Great Wall and Connect to the World." पहिल्या टप्प्यात इंटरनेटचा उपयोग फक्त इ-मेल साठी होऊ लागला, आणि तो सुद्धा काही संशोधन संस्थांमध्ये कार्यरत मंडळीपुरता मर्यादित होता. सन १९८९-९० मध्ये चीनच्या सर्व महत्वाच्या संशोधन संस्था लोकल एरिया नेटवर्क (LAN) ने जोडण्याचा महत्वाकांक्षी प्रकल्प, CSTNET (चायनिस सायन्स एंड टेक्नोलोजी नेटवर्क), केंद्रीय सरकारच्या पुढाकाराने सुरु झाला.
२. सन १९९२ - १९९७: अमेरिकेच्या 'माहितीच्या महामार्गा' प्रमाणेच चीनने स्वत;चा 'माहितीचा महामार्ग' निर्माण करण्यासाठी महत्वाकांक्षी 'गोल्डन ब्रिज' प्रकल्पावर काम सुरु केले. दूरसंचार, वाणिज्य आणि व्यापार या अर्थव्यवस्थेच्या तीन क्षेत्रांना इंटरनेटने जोडण्याला चीन सरकारने प्राधान्य दिले. सन १९९४ मध्ये सर्व गोल्डन प्रकल्पांचे CHINAGBN (चायना गोल्डन ब्रिज नेटवर्क) निर्माण करण्यात आले. संपूर्ण चीनमधल्या आर्थिक उलाढालींची चोख माहिती मिळवून त्या द्वारे आर्थिक शिस्त लावण्यासाठी चीनच्या सरकारने CHINAGBN चा उपयोग करण्यास सुरुवात केली. इंटरनेट प्रसाराचा वेग आणि त्याचे फायदे लक्षात घेऊन चीनने जागतिक पातळीवर इंटरनेटशी जोडण्याचा निर्णय जाणीवपूर्वक घेतला होता. मात्र, अमेरिकेतील मंत्रालये आणि संस्था इंटरनेटने जोडलेल्या असल्याने अमेरिकी सुरक्षेच्या कारणाने चीनला www आणि html सेवांचा लाभ घेण्यासाठी बराच संघर्ष करावा लागला होता. अखेर ऑगस्ट १९९४ मध्ये चीन आणि अमेरिकेच्या सरकारांनी एक करार केला ज्या द्वारे बिजींग आणि शांघाई शहरात 'चायना टेलेकॉम' साठी ६४ kbps च्या लाईन्स देण्याची जबाबदारी अमेरिकेच्या स्प्रिंट कम्युनिकेशनवर सोपवण्यात आली. या कराराने CHINANET ची सुरुवात झाली आणि सन १९९५ मध्ये चीन ने जागतिक इंटरनेटशी आपली नाळ जोडली. याच काळात, चीनच्या योजना आयोगाने आणि शिक्षण मंत्रालयाने पुढाकार घेऊन CERNET (चायना एज्यूकेशन एंड रिसर्च नेटवर्क) ची निर्मिती केली. चीनच्या सगळ्या शिक्षण संस्था आणि विद्यापीठांना इंटरनेटने जोडणाऱ्या या महत्वाकांक्षी प्रकल्पाअंतर्गत सन २००४ मध्ये चीनची सगळी विद्यापीठे आणि महा-विद्यालये इंटरनेटने जोडण्यात आली होती. मात्र, प्राथमिक ते उच्च-माध्यमिक शाळांना इंटरनेटने जोडण्यात चीनला अद्याप फारसे यश आलेले नाही.
सन १९९६ नंतर इंटरनेट धारकांची आणि ग्राहकांची संख्या लक्षणीय प्रमाणात वाढली. इंटरनेट सेवा सुरु झाल्या त्या वेळी ग्राहक संख्या केवळ ३००० होती. मात्र ४ महिन्यात ती ४०,००० झाली आणि सन १९९७ पर्यंत ६,२०,००० वर पोचली. इंटरनेटचे दर सुद्धा बऱ्याच प्रमाणात कमी झाले आणि चीनमध्ये आर्थिक सुधारणांमुळे उदयास आलेल्या मध्यम वर्गाला इंटरनेटची ओढ लागली. इंटरनेटने बाह्य जगाशी संपर्क झाल्याने मध्यम वर्गाचा दृष्टीकोन वेगाने बदलायला याच काळात सुरुवात झाली. त्याचप्रमाणे, इंटरनेटच्या 'दुष्परिणामांची' दखल चीनच्या सरकारने तात्काळ घेतली. १ फेब्रुवारी १९९६ रोजी चीनने इंटरनेटच्या वापराला नियंत्रित करणारा पहिला अध्यादेश जारी केला आणि २० मे १९९७ रोजी त्यात सुधारणा करत इंटरनेटच्या कायदेशीर वापरासाठी नवे फर्मान काढले. या नुसार, इंटरनेट द्वारे राष्ट्रीय सुरक्षेला हानी पोचवणे, राज्याची गुपिते उघड करणे, देशहिताचे नुकसान करणे, सामाजिक स्थिरतेला धोका निर्माण करणे, आणि अश्लील साहित्य-गोष्टींची निर्मिती-प्रसार-वापर करणे या वर बंदी लादण्यात आली. या पुढे, इंटरनेट वापरासंबंधीचे सगळे नियम या अध्यादेशाच्या आधारे बनवण्यात आले आहेत.
३. सन १९९८ ते 2001: सन १९९८-९९ पर्यंत चीन मध्ये इंटरनेटचा वापर आणि लोकप्रियता एवढ्या मोठ्या प्रमाणात वाढली की इथून इंटरनेटच्या वापरावर प्रतिबंध घालणे किव्हा जाणीवपूर्वक तो कमी करणे सरकारी यंत्रणेसाठी अशक्य झाले. सन १९९८ नंतर शहरी भागात मोठ्या प्रमाणात इंटरनेटचा वापर व्यापारासाठी होण्यास सुरुवात झाली. सन १९९८ हे 'ई-व्यापाराचे वर्ष' म्हणून चीन मध्ये साजरे करण्यात आले. या वर्षी sina.com, sohu.com, आणि netease.com अशा अनेक लोकप्रिय झालेल्या वेब पोर्टल्स अस्तित्वात आल्या. सन १९९९ मध्ये alibaba.com ने चीनची पहिली बिझिनेस टु बिझिनेस (B २ B) वेबसाईट होण्याचा मान पटकावला आणि सोबतच प्रचंड लोकप्रियता मिळवली. याच वर्षी चीनची पहिली बिझिनेस टु कस्टमर (B २ C) वेबसाईट 8848.com कार्यरत झाली. लवकरच इंटरनेटच्या माध्यमातून व्यापार करणारा नवा शहरी वर्ग चीनमध्ये तयार झाला.
४ . सन २००२ ते आतापर्यंत: ११ डिसेंबर, २००१ रोजी चीन जागतिक व्यापार मंडळाचा (WTO) सदस्य झाला. त्यापूर्वी झालेल्या वाटाघाटीत इंटरनेट एक महत्वाचा मुद्दा होता. यानुसार, चीनने दूरसंचार आणि इंटरनेटच्या क्षेत्रात ५०% परकीय गुंतवणुकीची अट मान्य केली आणि चीनच्या इंटरनेटचे भवितव्य जागतिक इंटरनेटच्या भविष्याशी कायमचे जोडले गेले. लवकरच ई-बे, गुगल आणि Amazon.com Inc या आंतरराष्ट्रीय कंपन्यांनी चीनच्या अनुक्रमे EachNet.Com, Baidu.Com आणि Joyo.Com Ltd चे रोखे विकत घेतले. गुगलचा प्रतिस्पर्धी याहू ने तर खास चीनसाठी Yisou.com हे नवे सर्च इंजिन सुरु केले. दुसरीकडे, मागील १० वर्षात चीनच्या माहिती तंत्रज्ञानातील अनेक कंपन्यांनी आंतरराष्ट्रीय बाजारपेठेत व्यापार करण्यास सुरुवात केली आहे.

इंटरनेटचा वापर आर्थिक उलाधालींसाठी जास्तीत जास्त व्हावा अशी चीनच्या राज्यकर्त्यांची इच्छा असली तरी एकूण नेटीझेन्सपैकी फक्त २९.१% ई-बँकिंग करतात, तर ३०.५% ऑनलाईन पेमेंट आणि ३३.८% वेब शॉपिंग करतात. चायना इंटरनेट नेटवर्क इन्फोर्मेशन सेंटरच्या २६ व्या 'चीनमधील इंटरनेट विकासाच्या सांख्यिकी अहवालात' ही माहिती देण्यात आली आहे. या अहवालानुसार, जुन २०१० मध्ये चीनच्या नेटीझेन्सची संख्या ४२० मिलियन वर पोचली होती. यापैकी ४५.२% नेटीझेन्स महिला आहेत, २७.४% नेटीझेन्स ग्रामीण भागातील आहेत, ३०% नेटीझेन्स विद्यार्थी आहेत आणि अनुक्रमे १६.७% आणि १५.१% नेटीझेन्स स्वयं:रोजगारातील आणि साधे नौकरदार आहेत. चीनी नेटीझेन्स इंटरनेटचा सर्वाधिक उपयोग संगीत ऐकण्यासाठी (८२.५%), बातम्यांसाठी (७८.५%) आणि माहितीच्या शोधासाठी (७६.३%) करतात. ई-मेल, ब्लोग्स आणि सोशल नेट्वर्किंगचा वापर अनुक्रमे ५६.५%, ५५.१% आणि ५०.१% नेटीझेन्स करतात. आज इंटरनेट चीनच्या अर्थव्यवस्थेचा आणि समाजाचाही अभिन्न भाग झाला आहे. मात्र, इंटरनेटच्या माध्यमातून चीनमध्ये व्यवस्था परिवर्तन होईलच याची खात्री देता येत नाही.

इंटरनेटची पर्याप्त वाढ अद्याप न होणे हे याचे पहिले कारण आहे. इंटरनेट अजून ५०% चीनी नागरिकांपर्यंतसुद्धा पोचलेले नाही. ग्रामीण भागातील बहुसंख्याक लोक अद्याप माहिती-तंत्रज्ञानाच्या आवाक्याबाहेर आहेत. प्रांतानुसार इंटरनेटचा प्रसार बघितल्यास असे लक्षात येते की चीनचे कित्येक प्रांत माहिती-तंत्रज्ञानाच्या शर्यतीत खुप पिछडलेले आहेत. माहिती-तंत्रज्ञानाचा प्रसार इतर मुलभूत सुविधांच्या उपलब्धतेवर आणि मुबलकतेवर अवलंबून असल्याने त्याने 'आहे रे' गटाचे आणि प्रदेशांचे जास्त भले झाले आहे, तर 'नाही रे' गट आणि प्रदेश याच्या लाभापासून वंचित आहेत. चीनमध्ये इंटरनेट व्यवस्था परिवर्तनाचे खात्रीशीर माध्यम नसण्याचे दुसरे महत्वाचे कारण राष्ट्र-राज्याच्या लोकांवर नियंत्रण ठेवण्याच्या शक्तीमध्ये माहिती-तंत्रज्ञानामुळे झालेली वाढ हे आहे. चीनचे सरकार इंटरनेटच्या मदतीने असंतुष्ट नागरिक आणि गटांवर जास्त योग्य प्रकारे लक्ष ठेवण्यात सक्षम आहे. तसेच, इंटरनेटवर माहितीचा शोध आणि लोकांचे संवाद याच्या विश्लेषणातून लोकभावनांची नाडी पकडणे सरकारसाठी तुलनेने सोपे झाले आहे. तिसरे कारण माहिती तंत्रज्ञानामुळे संपन्न झालेल्या वर्गाला सध्या तरी राजकीय बदल घडवण्यात विशेष रस नसणे हे आहे. राजकीय बदल म्हणजे अस्थिरता आणि अनिश्चितता जी आर्थिक प्रगतीच्या आड येऊ शकते अशी नव्याने श्रीमंत झालेल्या वर्गापैकी अनेकांची धारणा आहे. शिवाय, साम्यवादी पक्षाच्या धोरणांमुळे या वर्गाला सुबत्ता अनुभवायला मिळत असल्याने ते सध्यातरी आर्थिक हिताला अधिक प्राधान्य देणे पसंद करणार. एकंदरीत चीनमध्ये अजूनही इंटरनेटच्या जाळ्यापेक्षा साम्यवादी पक्षाचा प्रभाव जास्त विस्तारीत आणि सखोल असल्याने तिथे राज्यव्यवस्थेचे परिवर्तन हे नजीकच्या काळासाठी दिवा-स्वप्न ठरणार आहे.

On Proportional Representation

In recently declared assembly election results of Uttar Pradesh, asymmetry between voting percentage and number of seats won has once again demonstrated short- falls of first past the post system, and generated a debate among section of intellectuals on switching to system of proportional representation. The stark contrast between vote percentage and seats garnered is a common phenomenon in post-independent India and people have always accepted results based on this system. At least, any grievances towards this system has not been manifested anywhere through people’s/organization’s actions. In this context, it is worth asking, how desirable it is to indulge in this debate when there is no such demand from people or section of people. Proportional representation, in Indian context, could prove to be more disastrous than the first past the post system for various reasons.
First, it could be a recipe for permanent political instability as no party would get majority on its own, for sure. But, isn’t it already the case at the Centre since 1989? Then, in the proportional representation, system could be designed in such a way that top two parties in each state would be benefitted with majority of the seats, while parties with little percentage of votes would not earn anything. Unless a party wins more than 6 or 8 percentage of votes in a state, it won’t be awarded with a seat. Such system does exist in many countries that have opted for proportional representation. However, isn’t it against the very principle of fair representation to all for which the said switchover is being advocated?
Second, the proportional representation system, in a country like India, may further divide the society on caste and communal lines with party formations and organizations taking place entirely on caste and communal orders. It is true that existing system has failed to adequately represent people from across the communities for fairly long time. But, the trends in last 20 years indicate that, even without reservations, numerically vast but socially marginalized communities like the OBCs, have substantially increased their representation at state and national level. In Uttar Pradesh, Muslim representation is also on the rise in the state assembly. So, what is the need for switchover? On the contrary, presently the mainstream political parties, Congress, BJP and the Left, is constantly under pressure to provide fair representation in their party organizations and seat distribution to socially marginalized sections. This pressure might be diluted once party list-based representation comes into play.
Third, and in continuation of the earlier point, all the major parties are poised between people gaining position due to their closeness to their respective high-commands and people have mass support in their constituencies. The proportional representation will shift this balance entirely against the latter. This implies to all political formations ranging from the Left to BSP to Congress to BJP. How desirous this would be?
Fourth, if switchover is in discussion, feasibility of adopting any of the other electoral systems would rightly come into discussion. For example, the preferential voting system. It would be an elite perception to think that ordinary, and illiterate, people won’t understand the preferential voting system. So, any arguments against, and for, preferential voting system should go beyond this point.

Tuesday, March 13, 2012

On Democracy

Democracy is a living and ever evolving process. Best defense and promotion of democracy require its harsh criticism. It is built-in within the democratic society to respond to its criticism from within and outside. Absence of healthy debates and lack of openness in thinking are signs of failing democracy. At no point of time, any society can proclaim that it has achieved complete democratization and no further efforts are necessary to deepen democratic values. Particularly, a country like India is far away from any such position where it can proclaim satisfaction and happiness about its democratic practices. There are few issues which require brief discussion herein:

  1. Political parties are important agencies that politicize the people. Percentage of participation in elections depends on extent of people's politicization. If a substantial section of population keeps away from electoral process, it is hardly their fault but a shortcoming of the agencies like the political organizations. Blaming the people or suspecting their credentials for non-participation in electoral process is a case of shooting the messengers. These people are merely showing their disbelief in political processes that are carried out by political parties due to established perceptions. It is up to the political actors to undo or rebuild perceptions about themselves. Why do political parties have not succeeded in wining over such people is the cause of concern rather than crying foul about these people's non-participating in electoral processes.
  2. Form of democratic governments has always been a matter of debate within political community. Presidential system or West ministerial system, first past the post or proportional representation or preferential voting, one party system or multi-party system etc have been different combinations of democratic systems existing in different countries. Complete rejection of one format of a democratic system does not necessarily mean summary rejection of the idea of democracy, but it could be an intermediate stage wherein a society moves forward to other format of democratic government or develops its own unique format.
  3. Democracy as a value has been deeply established all over the world. Many dictators do rule in the name of strengthening of democracy or oppose democratic procedures, like multi-party elections, only on the pretext that his populace is not matured enough to adopt it and with passage of time they will embrace the democracy. Thus, like truth and happiness, democracy has a widest possible acceptability in the world.
  4. Some of the countries have had the sufficient experience of elite revolutionaries ruling the population with the belief that they would usher the society into true format of democracy. However, all of such experiments, in the name of people's democracy and socialism, have doomed even beyond imagination of staunchest of their opponents. This implies, democracy as a form, process and procedure can never be a single idea or ideology. It has to be, and always, contests of ideas.
  5. In India, and almost everywhere, poor and socially marginalized people demonstrate greater faith in electoral process. This is mainly because the state has been playing some sort of supportive role for them that enables to bear their burdens, even though the state does not lift them completely out of their situation. The state reaches out to these masses through the political parties, hence the people have trust and dependency on political parties. On the contrary, the class least depending on the direct favors from the state remains apathetic towards the political process.

Sunday, March 11, 2012

Understanding the Nature and Scope of Anti-Corruption Movement in India

The movement for creation of institution of Lokpal, spearheahed by an infant organization named India Against Corruption or popularly known as Team Anna, has provoked most of the sections in the Indian society to react and position themselves vis-à-vis this movement. This is the third wave of mass discontent against ‘establishment’ in independent India. The first instance was Jayprakash Narain’s popular movement against the Congress Party’s government at the centre and its various state governments in the decade of 1970s. The second momentum was V.P. Singh’s courageous decision to take on Rajiv Gandhi’s government; in which he served as Foreign Minister, Finance Minister and Defence Minister at one point of time or the other, on the issue of kickbacks in purchasing of Bofors guns for Indian Army. All the three waves of mass discontent at the national level emerged focusing on issues of corruption at the high offices, while rising inflation added fuel to the people’s anger.

First Wave of Mass Discontent

The J.P. movement that began against corruption at high places turned into movement for restoration of democracy in India once the then Prime Minister Indira Gandhi clamped national emergency in 1975 citing internal disturbances as the main cause. This movement was a combination of: right-wing Congress factions who unsuccessfully challenged Indira Gandhi’s leadership and were eventually thrown out of the Congress Party; the land lords and upper strata of social forces that earlier formed the Swantra Party championing free economy; the Jan Sangh backed by the Rashtriya Swaymsevak Sangh (RSS) that has been seeking alteration of Indian polity on ultra-nationalist ideology; the socialist followers of Ram Manohar Lohia; and not the least – the party-less Jayprakash Narain riding high on the shoulders of thousands of idealist youth who wanted to make India an egalitarian and inclusive society. A significant section of the Left, particularly Communist Party of India (Marxist) [CPI(M)], overtly took anti-Congress position after commencement of emergency arguing subversion of human and democratic rights by the authoritarian regime. Muslims in India, for the first time since independence, and so as sizable sections of Dalit in north and east India disserted ranks of Congress Party. Reason for Muslims was said to be the forceful implementation of sterilization programme during the emergency; and for Dalit it was chance for the popular leader Babu Jagjivan Ram to become the Prime Minister, the social revolution in itself. This movement was also powered by the beneficiaries of green revolution, the rich and middle level farmers most of whom belonged to the intermediate castes in Hindu social hierarchy. It had galvanized India’s east, west and north alike – politically and socially. However, the north-eastern part and northern most state of Jammu and Kashmir had little impact of the national churning. Similarly, the Southern States remained engulfed in their respective dynamics, although it could not remain aloof from the long term repercussions of the electoral defeat of the grand old Congress Party, the first ever since the establishment of the Republic. Although the first wave of mass discontent emerged out of sentiments against the corruption, it has contributed nothing in terms of curbing corruption at high places. On the other hand, its socio-political effects were different and far reaching.

The most important result of 1970s movement has been deepening and widening of consciousness against subversion of democratic institutions in general and of Parliament and elections in particular. The opinion generated against authoritarianism, as vindicated in the 1977 general elections, has been so strong that it had put to rest any speculation of India either going the one-party rule, particularly seen in countries of the then communist block, or the military dictatorship being witnessed in some of the South and South-East Asian countries. A related, and equally important development, was collapse of the myth of invincibility of the Congress Party. The TINA factor, There Is No Alternative, forever disappeared from Indian polity. The second important result was emergence of RSS-backed political force at the power centre. Although, Jan Sangh was merged into Janata Party, its leaders and cadres did not severe ties with RSS and continued to practice their core ideology. The partial taste of power in the form of Janata Party government at the centre enthused confidence among RSS ideologues of possibility of emerging as a key national player in some form or the other and ways of implementing their agenda. Thirdly, the Left, in the form of CPI(M), emerged as a viable force and succeeded in constructing political bastion in one of the most populous states of India – West Bengal. The massive popularity of the Left Front in West Bengal for many years since 1977 had unquestionably its roots in taking up fight against authoritarianism at the Centre and semi-fascistic rule of Congress in the state. Fourth, politically and socially marginalized sections began to assess importance of their vote and also their bargaining power. Realization that weakest of the weak can defeat the strongest political entity, empowered the masses to have larger social implications. It has paved the way for formation of identity based politics, particularly in the vast Hindi heartland. Fifth, and quite different, implication was dissociation of many of the youth, of those inspired by J.P.’s ideology of Total Revolution, from electoral politics. Many of them, in turn, have chosen to work among different communities in poor, rural or remote areas; mostly on the issues of their livelihood and sustainable development that includes education, environment and health. Some others followed their suit in following years, thus, creating an un-ignorable network of voluntary organizations and activists commanding respects among their people.

Second Wave of Mass Discontent

Implications of the second wave of mass discontent in late 1980s have been consolidification of many of the repercussions of the first wave on the one hand; and emergence of complex social, economic and political factors to change the landscape of Indian polity on the other hand. First of all, Congress Party was further weakened. Since then, Congress has been unable to muster simple majority in Lok Sabha elections on its own; and also forced to enter into political coalitions at the centre. Secondly, Jan Sangh’s successor, Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), emerged as one of the two largest political parties in India. This emergence has been marked by intense communal divide in society and further political marginalization of Muslims in national politics. Third, as a paradox to rise of Hindu right-wing, social identity based politics has become an important feature of Indian polity. At a policy level, political consensus emerged on providing reservations in jobs and education to historically deprived and marginalized castes and social groups in Hindu society. Fourth, the Left Parties gained importance at the national level as king-maker as 3 of the total 7 Union Governments since 1989 could have been formed with the Left’s outside support. Like the first wave, the right wing BJP, the socialist followers of Lohia and the J.P., the Dalit and Other Backward Castes (OBCs), Muslims and the Left fought against the Congress, although not in unison. During the second wave too, as happened in 1970s, India’s east, west and north further turned away from the Congress. The Southern States, like in 1970s, vacillated but in the longer term non-Congress forces got strengthened including the BJP. The north-east remained largely unaffected; but the state of Jammu and Kashmir, particularly the Kashmir valley, erupted with discontent and anger against the Indian establishment during and in the aftermath of this period; even though there is no overt inter-connectivity between the discontent in the valley and discontent in rest of India.

It is remarkable that most of the social forces and political formations that participated in both the anti-corruption crusades; like the right wing Jan Sangh (and then BJP), the Dalit and OBCs and the Left, consolidated their power bases. In the process, the Swatantra Party elements mostly merged into the BJP and the Lohiaites have been balkanized into social identity groups. On the other hand, Muslims did not gain anything substantially on and after both the occasions and the tribal remained politically voiceless.

It has been argued that the positioning of Lohiaites, Left and Dalit and OBC groups were identical with that of BJP’s during both the waves of mass discontent, resulting into the latter’s gaining of legitimacy in Indian politics. However, right-wing politics, in the form of the BJP, would have gained immensely by capturing the mass discontent against the Congress regimes, particularly on the issues of corruption and inflation, if the other non-Congress forces would not have positioned themselves as they did. For the wide ranging political forces; from ultra right to ultra left to various social groups, discontent against corruption served as a secular issue to fight against the establishment in order to garner support and legitimacy. On the other hand, futility of both the waves to produce concrete mechanism or alter the political-economic system to effectively curb menace of corruption resulted into co-option of opponents of the Congress regime into the establishment or the system. Till 1989 Congress Party was considered as the natural agency to govern and hence, had been identified as establishment. The socio-political developments since second wave of mass discontent shows that the space of Congress as part of establishment has been constantly eroded while the BJP, Left and Dalit and OBC groups/parties have been encroaching into the establishment.

A significant development since the second wave of mass discontent has been pronouncement of economic liberalization in India. A major plank to sell the idea of economic liberalization policy has been the argument that an economic system dominated by the State is bound to be corrupt and inefficient, hence needs to be altered. Government of the politically weak Congress Party during 1991-1996, which was also in the minority in the Lok Sabha, succeeded in firmly introducing neo-liberalization mainly because people, at large, were unwilling to keep on embracing the system against which it had rose twice in the past. In the process, people’s discontent got fragmented into protection and promotion of social and communal identities. As a direct result of it, the secular world-view of progressive movements too got fractured and it had to take up fight against single issues at different places calling itself the people’s movements. Even after the electoral mandate of 2004 and the historic role that the Left parties played at the centre for next 4 years, masses did not rise in action against the neo-liberalization. It is in this context that the third wave of mass discontent erupted in India in 2011.

Third Wave of Mass Discontent

Like the earlier two occasions, third wave of mass discontent has the background of massive government scams and inaction against corrupt politicians and bureaucrats. There are few more commonalities; ever-rising inflation, presence of Congress Government at the centre and Gandhi-Nehru dynasty at the receiving end of the mass discontent. Another striking similarity of all the three momentums has been the backdrop of impressive electoral performances by the Congress Party in the general elections that perpetuated the fear of never ending Gandhi-Nehru dynastic rule over India. Similarities, nonetheless, end here, while the differentiations are strikingly noteworthy.

The first differentiation between earlier two movements and the incumbent movement is the latter’s success in clear articulation of its goal and objectives. The movement focused on creation of an institution of Lokpal through a parliamentary legislation. In fact, no political party or group denied necessity of institution of Lokpal. The differences remained on its structure, role, scope and powers.

The second major differentiation is in the nature of the leadership. In 1970s and in late 1980s, political parties and political leadership were the main agencies and actors mobilizing and leading the masses against the respective incumbent central governments. However, the third wave of mass discontent has been led by non-political entities named Anna Hazare – a social activist who has developed a backward village in Maharashtra on the Gandhian principles; Kiran Bedi – a retired senior officer of Indian Police Services; Arvind Kejariwal – Right to Information activist who had resigned from Indian Revenue Services; Prashant Bhushan – a successful lawyer at the Supreme Court known for his passion for human rights; and Medha Patkar – founder of Narmada Bachao Andolan. None of them had ever contested elections nor been members of any political parties. This movement has not thrown, so far, any significant political figure(s) in sharp contrast to earlier two occasions.

The third differentiation is that the third wave of mass discontent is not merely directed against the incumbent government but also against the established ‘political class.’ People in the movement revered the non-political activists and hated all the politicians alike. The movement and its leadership have been severely criticized for the same; however, without serious introspection by the ‘political class’ and its defenders such criticism is proving to be self-defeating.

All the political parties agreed to the main demand of the movement, i.e. creation of institution of Lok Pal; however, all of them, except the BJP, articulated their positions against content and intent of the movement. Congress Party’s main criticism has been that the movement subverts the parliamentary procedures and prerogatives of the government bestowed upon it by the voters for 5 years. Many regional parties, like Trinamool Congress, DMK as well as AIADMK and NCP, shared this view. The Left said the movement has been crowded by the middle and upper middle class people who have not been uncomfortable with neoliberal policies. On the top of it, the Left alleged, the movement has been funded by the corporate sector. The social identity based political parties and caste based social groups countered the movement arguing that it has been led and dominated by the upper castes and real agenda of this movement has been subversion of the reservation system by undermining the Constitution. Muslim groups and tribal mostly remained aloof from the movement. BJP did not voice its criticism but remained ambivalent about whole-heartedly participating in it. On the other hand, BJP’s key ally Shiv Sena vehemently opposed Anna Hazare’s leadership and criticized the movement. BJP’s ambivalence emerged from two interlinked factors; one, some of its own leaders have been engulfed in the corruption cases and two, the mass mobilizations during the movement have been so apathetic towards the political parties that any overtures from the BJP might have boom-ranged on it. On the other hand, BJP refrained from criticizing the movement because the middle class, which BJP considers as its core constituency, has been sympathetic to the government. Even though BJP kept a safe distance from the movement, RSS has issued directives to its followers to participate in it.

In this overall context, a natural question that arises is who participated in the countrywide massive mobilizations under the banner of India against Corruption if all of the political parties, most of the social/caste based organizations, Muslim groups and tribal maintained a distance from it. One obvious answer is the RSS and the middle class. But some of the prominent figures in this movement, e.g. Prashant Bhushan and Medha Patkar, have been at the loggerheads with RSS as well as BJP on various issues since last many years. Majority of the people who participated were neither mobilized through RSS shakhas nor had any impression that they were participating in a movement organized or led by RSS. Similarly, middle and upper middle class have been more inclined towards liberalism and composite culture and dislikes many of RSS’ extreme ideals and views. Also, scale of the massive support emerged for Team Anna’s agitation in the month of August 2011, has gone beyond the size of the middle class in India. Nonetheless, fact remains that RSS participated in this movement so as the middle class. This convergence is intriguingly interesting. The movement emerged from third wave of mass discontent has a distinctive feature of ‘core’ of the movement and ‘periphery’ of the movement. While ‘core’ anchored the movement, ‘periphery’ participated in it providing real strength to the movement. In a paradoxical situation, Indian society’s those sections who have been benefitted most by the neo-liberal policies and part of those sections, which have neither been benefitted from the neo-liberal policies nor from the State’s welfare measures, are part of this movement.

‘Core’ of the Movement

Neo-liberalism has produced three distinguished sections in Indian society that have now begun to exert their influence on polity. The privatization, entry of MNCs and boom in Information-Technology driven by the private sector has created a neo-rich middle and upper middle class. Supplementary to it, a new entrepreneur class has come into existence in urban India. Together, they all represent first section of the neo-liberal troika. The second section has come into existence in the form of Non Governmental Organizations (NGOs). State’s partial withdrawal from the public sphere has simultaneously seen promotion of NGOs. Many of these NGOs compete with the State’s space in the society even while receiving funds from the government or its agencies. Many other NGOs receive funds from foreign agencies and want to perform the State’s duties. Today these NGOs have significantly created networking among people and their role in opinion shaping can not be ignored. The third section that has gained strength during neo-liberal era is electronic, print and digital media. This section is dependent on neo-rich urban class for profit, however, it exerts influences on wider sections of Indian society. All these three sections, which are products of neo-liberalism, look at the ‘political class’ as the main source of corruption that has been looting country’s resources. According to them, politicians’ greed for power and money compels the other sectors, like corporate, media and private entrepreneurs for corrupt practices. Therefore, curbing the corruption at the political offices assumes highest priority for these three sections.

The fourth section, some of the people’s movements, voluntary organizations and social activists, are not a product of neo-liberalism but participated in the present movement. Many of them have been involved in the J.P. movement of 1970s or have been inspired by that legacy and since then independently working on different issues in different forms and at different places. They emphasize on upholding Gandhian principles of morality in public sphere. They also believe in decentralization of financial and administrative powers. According to them, centralization of powers lead to corruption and the existing ‘political class’ perpetuates centralization and indulges in corruption. They believe that ‘Ganga’ of corruption flows from top to down. Hence, eliminating corruption at the top is the first essential step to curb the overall menace of corruption. Like the first three sections, they also hold the existing ‘political class’ mainly responsible for widespread corruption in the country. These four sections constitute the ‘core’ of the incumbent movement arising out of third wave of mass discontent.

The first three sections, as described above, are pro-globalization, practices wealthy life style and mostly comprise of urban based population. People and organizations in the fourth section vary in their approaches to the globalization and at best could be summarized as cautious and wary of economic globalization. They believe in austerity and preach simple living as envisaged under Gandhian world-view; and many of them work among rural communities. Despite these basic differences, the fourth section can form an alliance with the first three sections mainly because goal of the present movement is well defined, i.e. creation of an institution of Lok Pal as envisaged in the Jan Lok Pal Bill prepared by Team Anna. These sections conceive Lok Pal as faithful representative of the civil society, who will investigate and prosecute the corrupt politicians and bureaucrats.

This is not to suggest that all the people’s movements and voluntary organizations participated in the present movement. Significant number of them has kept away from the agitation. Similarly not all NGOs participated or sympathize with the movement. Reasons of their non-participation vary from simple ego issues to disagreements on nature of agitation to disliking for socio-economic character of other participants. Many voluntary organizations are working according to the principles of advocacy rather than confrontation with the State and hence preferred to stay away from the agitation. Many people’s movements and social activists objected to the elite character of the participants and could not associate themselves with the movement.

Even though, ‘core’ of the movement is resourceful and influential; nonetheless, it does not have the numerical capacity to threaten the government and the established political class. Countrywide massive mobilizations seen during Anna Hazare’s three fasts in Delhi in different months in 2011 does not merely represents ‘core’ sections but a larger participation beyond it. This larger participation constitutes ‘periphery’ of the movement.

‘Periphery’ of the Movement

‘Periphery’ of the movement is much more complex and difficult to categorize. The first section in the ‘periphery’ is comprised of small traders, shopkeepers, small distributors and urban/semi-urban people involved in cottage industries. Most of them face regular harassments at the hands of police and municipal authorities. They could relate with the concept of Lok Pal as an institution that will keep checks on police and bureaucracy. Second section in the ‘periphery’ includes smaller organizations and unions in the urban and semi-urban areas like the transport unions or union of Dabbewallas in Mumbai or union of the working people at the Dhobi Ghat of Mumbai. This section is mostly disenchanted with the political class and would like to see an institution that would make the political class accountable and responsible towards its duties. The third and a major component of the ‘periphery’ has been the urban youth; unemployed, semi-employed or involved in petty businesses. Similarly, large number of college and university students, whose future will certainly be like their youth counterparts, joined the ranks in the movement. This section is well connected through cell phones and internet; and they are under the influence of BPO culture of the metropolitan cities. Along with general frustration with the political class, they look forward to contribute positively towards betterment of the society and the country. The fourth section of the ‘periphery’ is diverse ‘spiritual’ organizations as well as smaller political parties and political organizations. Their purpose of participation in this movement is either to get connected to the people who are out on the streets, or to isolate the Congress-led Central government, or to serve both the purposes. Organizations connected to spiritual guru Shri Ravishankar or Ramdev, many small organizations in different cities and towns that subscribe to non-Congress (or anti-Congress) ideology but are not linked to any major political party as well as the RSS and the CPI (Marxist-Leninist) belong to this category. Overall, these four categories form the ‘periphery’ providing numerical strength to the present movement.

People who participated in the movement from ‘periphery’ could not be classified as beneficiaries of neo-liberal policies; neither do they belong to middle or upper strata of the society nor all of them have origins in the socially higher castes in Hindu society. On the other hand, most of them are equally frustrated with the political class and are fed up with non-existence of electoral alternatives. Most importantly, they have increasingly been isolated from the State’s welfare and social emancipation measures, either due to State’s withdrawal or inefficiency of those policies itself. Again, ‘periphery’ does not represent all the people in the country but sections of it. Particularly those poor and marginalized people having organic links with political parties and been benefitted from their programmes stayed away from the movement.

Conclusion

The third wave of mass discontent is general expression of disenchantment with the established political class. The ‘core’ of the movement is aware of its limitations in terms of numerical strength and lack of cohesive ideology. Therefore, it has defined the goal of the movement in clear terms, i.e. creation of Lok Pal; and objectives as cleaning up the political system from corruption that includes money and muscle powers. The ‘core’ does not have organizational mechanism, so far, to mobilize the ‘periphery’. On the other hand, ‘periphery’s’ participation has been enthusiastic and self-motivated. The ‘core’ is not antithetical to neo-liberal policies and in many ways favors withdrawal of the State. The ‘periphery’ is not mobilized against the neo-liberal policies neither does it view the State as useful entity. The ‘core’ and the ‘periphery’ together represent a wider section of Indian people, who are not influenced or impressed by any of the political formations. On the other hand, political parties lack the programmes that could mobilize these people. Many of the political parties and social formations, once seen as fighting against the establishment during the first and second wave of mass discontents, have now been seen as part of the establishment.

People’s participation in the movement for Lok Pal indicates the political vaccume existing in India. At the time of independence, seven major ideological formations were competing with each other to build the future of India. First, the Congress Party as the umbrella organization and with mixed economy favoring Indian capitalists was the leading force. Second, the socialists emphasized morality in public sphere and State-ownership of major industries. Third, the Hindu right-wing organizations, mainly the RSS and Jan Sangh, envisaged a majoritarian Hindutva-based polity. Fourth, a small group of ideologues led by C Rajgopalachari and supported by some of the capitalists, land-lords and princely lobby aspired for free economy. Fifth, the communists were fighting for alteration of economic and political system on the lines of egalitarian Marxist principles of equal distribution and public ownership of all the means of productions. Sixth, organizations fighting for social emancipation and social equality; inspired by the thoughts and leadership of Dr. Ambedkar, Periyar and others. And seventh, Gandhian principles of village self-reliance and austerity. All of these seven ideological formations have undergone changes and built their bases or experienced erosion in their support; some have even become extinct from political sphere, as a result of first and second wave of mass discontents during 1970s and late 1980s.

The third wave of mass discontent now indicates that political formations based on these ideologies have been exhausted in terms of reaching out to significant sections of the people. Today, India is divided between those having faith in any of these political formations and those who are willing to reject all of them and still not having any other viable alternatives. As a result, even the present movement limits itself to the creation of Lok Pal and cleaning of political system from the corrupt elements rather than trying to form coherent ideological alternative to the existing political formations.

Wukan in Perspective

A ‘small-town size’ Chinese village of Wukan hit the headlines in international media last month over its protest actions. Wukan is based in country’s wealthiest southern province of Guangdong and is near the Hong Kong. Wukan is a village only in legal terminology, but is relatively bigger than many other villages in China. Western media has reported its population at 13,000; but China’s People’s Daily described it as village of 11,000 people, while news reports in The Hindu, an Indian English newspaper, tallied the protesting village population at around 20,000. Wukan hosts a natural harbor on Pacific Ocean that makes it an attractive destination for industry and real estate developers.

Background

The fishing village had been boiling since September, 2011 on the issue of corrupt land transfer deals wherein their elected representatives along with local functionaries of Communist Party of China (CPC) handed over the collective village land to ‘developers’ without adequately compensating the villagers. In addition to it, handing over of nearby fishing area in the sea to a large fishing company worked as a last straw in the coffin. Protesting villagers alleged that the Village Committee has been systematically selling off or granting long term leases of the collective land since 1993.

A Hong-Kong listed company, called Country Garden, is involved in the allegedly corrupt land deal at Wukan. Its chairperson, Yang Huiyuan, is rated as one of the richest persons in China. This is not for the first time that Country Garden has courted a controversy in its deal. Quoting Xinhua, China’s government news agency, International Herald Tribune (IHT) reported, “This year (2011) the company has purchased Anhui Province land to build a Golf Course in a deal that smacked of the typical collision of real estate business and local government.” The same edition also reported, quoting from Southern Weekly’s report, that in the year 2007 irregularities were alleged in a hotel construction contract awarded to Country Garden by a District administration in Hunan Province. [IHT, Dec 17-18, 2011, p. 7]

In last 18 years, 60% of the collective land has been taken off from the villagers. According to the investigative Chinese journal Caixin, as quoted by Elizabeth C Economy, the Village Committee in Wukan had earned over 700 million yuan (about $110 million) from selling collectively-owned village land, but it disbursed only 550 yuan (roughly US$86) to each villager. (Economy, Elizabeth C, Occupy Wukan: China’s 99 Percent, 15h Dec. 2011, www.blogs.cfr.org/asia/2011/12/15/occupy-wukan-china’s-99-percent/) There has been allegedly no accounting of the entire money earned and disbursed through land sale deals. Villagers tried to address the problem through Grievance Redress Mechanism. Between July 2009 to March 2011, villagers have petitioned 5 times to Lufeng County government and 7 times to Guangdong Provincial government, but of no avail.

Protest Actions

In September, 2011, villagers gave up the hope of justice through the grievance redress mechanism and, for the first time, hit the streets. The protest went on for 2 days, which also turned violent as police vehicles were burnt and government offices were ransacked. Shanwei authorities, which supervise administrative work at Wukan, immediately moved in the riot control police that, according to villagers, indulged in large scale brutality. The local authorities promised to enquire into allegations of corrupt land deals. Authorities also sacked 2 party officials in the village, along with an offer to the villagers to form their own committee to negotiate with it. In turn, villagers chose 12 people as their representatives that included 42 year old Xue Jinbo. What transpired during negotiations, including how many rounds of talks were held, is still unclear. In December, spokesman of the Lufeng County government condemned the earlier protests and termed them as illegal. Zheng Yanxiong, party secretary for Shanwei city, perfectly summed up local authorities position, “If we meet all the villagers’ demands then it will raise all of society’s expectations too high.” [Financial Times, Dec. 20, 2011]

It has once again deteriorated the situation and villagers staged a sit-in to protest high-handed attitude of local authorities. In response to the protest, the authorities abducted 5 villagers by sending in police in plain-clothes. 2 days later, on 11th December, one of these 5 villagers – Xue Jinbo - died in police custody. The villagers claimed that he succumbed to the injuries inflicted upon him by the police, while authorities maintained that he died of the heart attack. Authorities refused to hand over body of the deceased to the villagers. This led to angry protests by Wukan residents, who chased away all government and CPC functionaries from the village, and cordoned off the village to prevent police from entering into it. The self-siege went on for 10 days, when Wukan had no presence of and contacts with government and CPC authorities. The residents also threatened to march into Lufeng county city if their demands remained unmet.

Role of Media

During the 10 days siege, neither telephone-mobile connections nor internet services of the village were snapped. The villagers could smuggle in essential commodities from nearby villages that helped them to sustain the self-siege for 10 long days. Chinese officials mostly censored the news related to Wukan in government controlled media, but Guangdong has many freewheeling publications that covered the developments in Wukan. International media got attracted to it only in the last phase, i.e. when angry villagers drove out the government authorities, which was made public by The Telegraph on 13th December. Hong Kong based Apple Daily, which is always at loggerheads with CPC, sent 7 people to cover the incident. Wukan’s proximity to Hong Kong also helped international journalists to approach it and many of them succeeded in breaching police cordon to enter the village. Similarly, some of the enthusiast Chinese bloggers reached Wukan to witness the ‘autonomous zone’.

Sensing opportunity to make their voices heard in Beijing, villagers converted an empty 2-story building in the village as media centre. Owner of the building, a Christian family, had moved to Hong Kong sometime back. Presence of powerful media had boosted villagers’ confidence. “We were very scared a day or two ago, but now, with the whole world watching, we don’t think they will dare do anything to us,” said a young villager, who was half-jokingly conferred the title of Wukan’s Foreign Minister by others [Financial Times, December 16, 2011]. Villagers consciously undertook efforts not to send any wrong signals to Beijing. Villagers imposed on the journalists not to report the incident as ‘uprising’. They also raised the banners reading ‘We are not Revolt’, ‘We Love the country’, and ‘We support the CPC’. In their interactions in the village; journalists, as reported by almost all present there, could understand that the villagers have had high expectations from leaders in Beijing. Villagers also impressed upon the journalists, as reported by many, that the Beijing has not yet intervened because the local functionaries must have misled the central leadership. As one villager said, “They [local authorities] have lied to us so many times, we just can’t trust them. Only the top government leaders and party central [committee] can save us and give us back our land.” Few villagers also talked about need of a ‘real democracy’, but qualified that they are not in fight with the Communist Party. One village leader, as reported by the Financial Times, said, “We want open, transparent democratic elections not just for our village or the county or city but also for the whole country, including the top leaders; I’m not an expert but I don’t think there’s a big contradiction between loving and supporting the Communist Party and asking for real democracy in China.” [Financial Times, December 18, 2011]

Resolution of the Siege

The ice was finally broken when the provincial level officials began talking to the villagers. Zhu Mingguo, deputy Party chief of Guangdong, held direct talks with the villagers and promised them fair and open investigations. Lin Zuluan, Wukan’s 65 year old chief negotiator, said that ‘unlike the local and County-level authorities, the Provincial representatives were sympathetic to villagers and did not condemn or term the protests illegal.’ In return of freeing of all the detained villagers, it was decided to lift the siege and proposed protest march to Lufeng was cancelled. Provincial authorities cancelled the results of village elections and village secretary of the CPC as well as elected head of the Village Committee remained removed from their posts. Main issue of the land was not resolved immediately but the authorities agreed to enquire into issues of financial irregularities and compensation. The initial response to Wukan, as promised by deputy Provincial chief, was swift and in favor of the villagers. It is best summed up by China Daily, a government controlled newspaper, on 31st December 2011 in its news report titled ‘Initial Probe Supports Villagers’ Request’:

“The main requests of the residents of a southern village in county level city of Lufeng, Guangdong province, regarding financing, land use and violation of law and discipline by village heads are reasonable, a preliminary investigation has found. The investigation, conducted by a special provincial work group since Dec 19 and released on Friday, indicated that some local officials violated the law and ethics of office while selling farmlands in Wukan village for commercial use…….. “The issue of land use, including collecting the land from villagers and selling to developers, has not been publicly and fairly disclosed to the residents since the 1990s,” said Yang Junbo, deputy director of the provincial department of land and resources, who is in charge of investigating the land issue under the provincial workgroup.

Since 1993, the former Wukan village committee sold about 42 hectares of farmland for commercial use. Only 3.6 hectares of that were approved or officially registered for use by local authorities, the preliminary investigation showed.

The village of 11,000 people has a total area of 638 hectares, of which 88 hectares arearable land. In one case, residents requested the return of 30 hectares of farmland that was developed jointly in by the village committee and a Hong kong company. The sale of the land, which was actually 4 hectares larger than the approved area was not disclosed to residents. In response to the villagers’ request, the Lufeng government has annulled the land transaction and is planning to compensate the developer and return the land to villagers for farming, said local government sources.

A number of local officials, including Xue Chang, former village Party Chief, and Chen Shunyi, head of the village committee, are alleged to have embezzled public assets and to have accepted bribes during the sale of farmland. Xue and Chen have been removed from their posts and the provincial work group said that an election of a new village committee will be held. “We will further investigate alleged violations of law and ethics of local officials involved in the village issue, regardless of how high their positions are, and we will inform residents of the results as soon as possible,” said Zeng Qingrong, deputy director of the Guangdong provincial department of supervision.

Regarding the financing issue, the work group found there is reason to suspect some former local officials of depositing public money into their personal bank accounts and using it without approval. Former village Party chief, Xue, allegedly purchased a car worth 20,000 yuan ($31,250) for personal use in July 2010. “Residents seldom benefitted from the land sales. We will instruct the local village committee to build a transparent and fair financing system in the near future,” said Gu Xingwei, deputy director of the Guangdong provincial department of agriculture, who is in charge of the village financing issue investigation.” [China Daily, Dec. 31, 2011]

Wang Yang: Rising Star of CPC

Decision against use of force at Wukan, it is understood, was taken by Polit Bureau member and secretary of Guangdong province Wang Yang. As a secretary of China’s wealthiest province since 2007, Yang implemented few reforms that immediately made him competitor for a seat on Standing Committee of the Polit Bureau. The elite party body is set for overhaul in late 2012 as 7 of its 9 members are facing compulsory retirement. Yang has been emphasizing on ‘thought emancipation’ and ‘protecting economic rights of some of the grass roots’. Although his plan for pilot political reforms in Shenzen, the commercial centre of Guangdong, did not materialize, Yang proceeded with protracted reforms that could have long term implications. He supervised restructuring of 41 separate government departments and their parallel party structures into 16 compact organs in the Shunde district. The new structure clearly outlines responsibilities of party functionaries and government officials. In a path-breaking move in October 2009, Yang decided to publish Guangzhou’s, Guangdong’s capital city, budget. This was ironically coincided with Shanghai authorities’ refusal for the same, terming the city budget as state secret. Guangdong also relaxed norms for registration of non-governmental organizations (NGOs). The number of NGOs in Guangdong is already rising at triple the rate of national average. [IHT, Dec. 31, 2011, p.2] Last year, Wang Yang allowed the workers at various factories in the province to protest and restrained the police from arresting union leaders. Subsequently, workers’ wages were raised by about 20%, the first significant rise in many years. Yang is believed to be locked in a competition with Chongqing party secretary Bo Xilai for position in the top party body. Bo Xilai responds to organized crime as well as dissents in a similar fashion. Bo has earned his position as a conservative in the party by emphasizing on chanting of Maoist songs of Cultural Revolution era. At a time, when critics began to place Bo and Yang at the same level; pointing out that there is no difference between the two in the matter of suppression of dissents, Yang has demonstrated his will to resolve the grievances in favor of the ‘grass roots.’ At Wukan, Yang faced a choice between exerting repression to maintain ‘social stability’ and showing flexibility to avoid bloodbath. It is noteworthy that he immediately won praises in China’s semi-official newspaper People’s Daily for his courageous political act. The Hindu cited a Guangdong newspaper in which Wang Yang was quoted as follows: “There was something accidental about the Wukan incident but it was also inevitable. This is the outcome of conflicts that have accumulated over a long time in the course of economic and social development. It was the inevitable result of the government adopting an approach of having one hard hand and one soft hand when dealing with social and economic issues respectively.” [The Hindu, Dec. 21, 2011]

Rising Mass Incidents

‘Mass Incidents’ are officially defined as any kind of planned or impromptu gathering as a result of ‘internal contradictions’, which includes mass public speeches, physical conflicts, airing of grievances or any other forms of group behavior that may pose a threat to social stability. However, police and civic authorities apply different parameters to record the mass incidents. Police tend to include as many incidents as possible to prove their efficiency as well as to support their budget. On the other hand, civic authorities like to list minimal mass incidents under area of their supervision to indicate their popularity and acceptance.

In 1993, Ministry of Public Security recorded the number of mass incidents at 8,709. It reached the number of 87,000 for the year 2005. Government has stopped publishing National Statistics on mass incidents since 2005. Today, various reports claim the unprecedented rise in number of mass incidents in China, which are roughly estimated between 1,00,000 to 1,80,000 per year. However, this number refers to a very broad category of ‘public order disturbances’ including protests against government, ethnic riots, clashes among communities, activities of secret societies, organized crime, gambling and even hacking. However, there can be no denying the fact that social unrest in China is undoubtedly on rise and land issue and corruption are among the main reasons of increasing protests by the people all over the country.

Land Issue in China

According to Li Fan of Beijing-based World and China Institute, 50% to 60% of Chinese villages have been facing the similar problems, as experienced by Wukan, in terms of transparent governance and financial accountability. [IHT, Dec 27, 2011, p. 4] China has about 6,25,000 villages.

On paper, Chinese Law has empowered the villagers to decide about sale of their collectively owned land. However, matter has often been decided by elected representatives of the Village Committee. A common pretext for sale of the collective village land is to raise finances to provide civic services to the villagers. Collective land has also been used arbitrarily to build roads, power stations or any other infrastructure related development. Apart from this, the Village Committee sale or leases out the land to private developers to earn revenue for village’s development. With the introduction of local elections and constitution of elected Committees, Central and Provincial governments have transferred the responsibilities related to village level developments to the Village Committee. On the other hand, Village Committees do not have sufficient rights to levy adequate taxes to meet their expenses. New taxes are often subject to approval by the higher authorities, prompting the Village Committees to adopt easier way of sale of land to raise revenues. Similarly, land sale too requires permission from higher authorities that has created a chain of village to county to province level corrupt officials. The booming real estate industry in China is thriving on such corrupt deals. 8 out of China’s top 10 billionaires are involved in real estate developments, and in turn, in murky land deals. The kickbacks involved in such murky deals have converted the Village Elections into power games. Local CPC functionaries poured in lots of money to get elected to the offices. The CPC secretary of the Wukan village has remained the same since 1970, until last September, when angry villagers’ protests compelled the authorities to sack him. Similarly, 5 of the 9 members have been continuing in the Village Committee since introduction of the system in late 1980s.

According to China’s State Council, in 2011 alone, 1.1 million hectares of land has been transferred for non-agricultural use. Out of it, around 7,00,000 hectares were transferred illegally, resulting into many more joining the migratory army of unemployed and underemployed in China. In last 2 decades, approximately 75 million peasants in China have been driven out of agriculture, merging into 200 million rural residents who often migrate to urban areas in search of jobs. [Muldavin, Joshua, ‘China’s Shaky Economic Foundation, IHT, Dec. 31, 2011, p.6] This unstable and vulnerable population is one of the main cause of social instability in China. Immediately after the resolution of Wukan’s self-siege, Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao said, “China can no longer sacrifice farmers’ land rights for the sake of reducing the cost of urbanization and industrialization.” [ibid]

Conclusion

There are instances in the CPC’s recent history wherein the Party seized the moment and transformed its own policies according to the lessons learnt at the grass roots. CPC’s official history states that the de-collectivization of land and the Village Elections were initiated by the people at the micro level. The CPC, then, adopted them at the macro-level. Now, challenge before the 5th generation leadership, which will be at the helm of affairs in less than a year, is to learn appropriate lessons from the Wukan protests to ensure social stability in China. Wukan protests included two important elements: corrupt land deals and unethical behavior of local government officials. The central authorities tend to undermine such protests by terming them as complaints of petty-corruption against local government or businesspersons. At a deeper level, the protests, however, were more a result of systemic failure than the cyclical process in China. It indicate lack of rule of law, lack of transparent governance and lack of official accountability. Such protests underline the inefficiency of China’s grievance redress mechanism, which, in fact, has no relevance if fair judicial system is firmly established. The grass root protests also emphasize the need of bringing in more transparency and accountability in the Village elections and functioning of Village committees.

The Wukan protests also showed level of infiltration of internet and news media in China. It is becoming increasingly difficult for Chinese authorities to control and censor everything in the country. Chinese government also seems to realize that complete censorship will be counter-productive for it as Chinese youth is intensely engaging with the internet and the outside world. On the other hand, there are hints in the handling of Wukan protests that Chinese government is becoming conscious of its international image; hence, it has resolved the issue peacefully when it became the world-wide news.

The Wukan protests re-emphasized lack of connectivity between grass root protests and dissent of the intelligentsia in China. The grass root protests are emerging out of livelihood issues, whereas dissent of the intelligentsia aspires to change the one-party dominated state system. Unlike the dissenting intelligentsia, grass root protests still hold the CPC and its central leadership in high esteem and expectations. The dissenting intelligentsia, on the other hand, is unable to comprehend misery of the people involved in grass root protests. As a consequence, the CPC faces no imminent threat from the protests and dissents.