Showing posts with label rahul gandhi. Show all posts
Showing posts with label rahul gandhi. Show all posts

Monday, May 30, 2016

Rahul Gandhi’s Party


Knifes are out against Rahul Gandhi. Yet again, from the non-Congressmen! True to their style and habit, the RSS ideologues are making fun of Rahul’s leadership ‘qualities’. Opponent’s character assassination and his/her devaluation through a non-political discourse are distinct ways of right-wing politics in India. Nonetheless, the questions raised on Rahul’s abilities to win the elections for his party are valid and pressing for the Congress. While everyone is crying that he needs to take some drastic measures, no one is suggesting what exactly he should do. In this context, it is important to understand in the first place what Rahul is doing. At least, what he really wants to do! If we dissect Rahul’s focus and activities over the last few years, following themes emerged out of it. First, he wants to change the Congress style of functioning thoroughly bringing into it professionalism. Second, he is passionate about reconnecting the party with dalit, minority and tribal population in the country. Third, he prefers fighting elections in alliances with anti-BJP parties. This three point formula is sufficiently potent to ensure Congress’ electoral victories only if it works in tandem.
As it is obvious now, the formula is dysfunctional at pan-India level. There could be two reasons behind it. First, Rahul Gandhi is not putting up the amount of effort required for the success of his formula. Second, the Congress leaders - from CWC to the district level - have not imbibed within them the spirit that Rahul is trying to inject in the Congress party. In practice, the failure is a combination of both the reasons. If there is a criticism that Rahul is not consistent in his efforts, he must take it in right strides. There is always a scope for doing more in politics, more so for the almost moribund Congress party. On the other hand, the Congressmen need to follow their leader by example. Why it is a case that even after Rahul Gandhi’s famous Niyamgiri climb, no Congress leader of the worth has dedicated himself to the cause in Odisha? As a Congress worker in Pune recently said, “When Rahul undertook a padayatra in Maharashtra last year, many state Congress leaders followed him; but in their SUVs.” In a nutshell, Rahul’s vision for Congress does not match with his party-men’s mission for themselves. They want him to fetch votes of underprivileged sections but do not strive to champion their cause. Hence, they celebrate his overnight stays in dalit homes in Uttar Pradesh but never do it on their own. Contrast it with Mahatma Gandhi and his followers during the freedom struggle and one realizes why that old man stand out as the master tactician of all times. Rahul’s singular failure is his inability to bring on board his party men during the struggles.  This has led to a joke in a non-BJP non-Congress sections that he would end up being a Maoist, fighting alone for the cause of the oppressed. 
A student from Hyderabad has recently written following message on facebook in response to RSS onslaught on Rahul through media, "I remember Rahul Gandhi at the University of Hyderabad how he interacted with the agitating students there after Rohith Vemula was killed. He was humble. He was submissive. Sitting at the shopcom in a day-long relay hunger strike for almost 18 hours he didn't look tired. There was a sign of some helplessness on his face. The local leaders were kept away. I didn't find him 'pappu'. Though he is brief and not 'charismatic' in his speeches, he has a sharp content in them. I haven't seen anyone in Congress other than him and Sonia Gandhi dare to attack RSS profoundly. We all can have differences with him and his party but we cannot ignore his solidarity with the students of FTII, HCU and JNU in recent times.” Rahul’s day out in Hyderabad Central University was enough for the Congress student and youth wing to hit the streets across India. Something that did not happen at all. Rahul Gandhi is not on a wrong track but his party is unable to comprehend his objective.
There are two more features of Rahul’s approach in politics, which he has inherited from his mother. First, he respects the elders in the party and does not wish to hurt them. Second, he does not interfere in the functioning of Congress state units or Congress led governments in the states. While both the points are praiseworthy, they do not help in winning elections. Like RSS micro-management of BJP in each state, Rahul Gandhi needs to develop incisiveness to ask questions and demand accountability from state leaders – irrespective of their age and experience. In this respect, he must learn from his grand-mother, late Indira Gandhi, on how she was respected and feared alike by all the Congressmen across the states. (Written on 20th May 2016)       

Friday, March 9, 2012

Political Implications of U.P. Assembly Election Results

Uttar Pradesh is set to become the northern Tamil Nadu of India. For second consecutive term, people of Uttar Pradesh have given decisive mandate to a single party to rule. On the other hand, lofty dreams of two national parties to stage come back in the heartland of Indian politics suffered heavy blow despite their all out efforts to woo the voters. In 2007, Bahujan Samaj Party formed the government with clear majority of 206 seats in the assembly of 404 members. This time, Samajwadi Party, minus Amar Singh, managed to secure the clearest ever mandate in Uttar Pradesh since 1985 elections. Vote swing of 4% against BSP resulted in its drubbing, while gain of 5% votes by SP increased its tally by more than the double of what it had 5 years ago. That time everyone had written off Mulayam Singh and now many may tempt to make the same mistake by writing the obituary to Mayawati’s political career. However, this could just be the beginning of cyclical process in India’s most populous state. In all likelihood, Mayawati’s BSP stands a chance to return to power in 2017 with the support of same social groups that have deserted her in this election. After all, in the southern state of Tamil Nadu, every time DMK is wiped out, it comes back with a vengeance in next elections. So is true about AIADMK. However, one of the national parties, either Congress or BJP, can break this prospective cycle in U.P. if it can win over the single largest floating group in the state, i.e. the Brahmins. In the two successive U.P. assembly elections, Brahmins have emerged as kingmaker in the state. Their substantial strength of more than 11% with considerable rural base can be termed as third largest politically influential group in the state; after the Muslims who are around 25% and Dalits who are around 22%. In last elections, Brahmins had casted their fortunes with BSP, while this time around they have made favours to SP. Addition of 11% Brahmin votes to SP’s consolidated vote bank of 25% Muslims and 7% Yadavas is unbeatable formula in the caste-ridden politics of U.P. Apart from the Brahmin’s disenchantment with Behenji, the reasons of which are unclear yet, farmers in the state have decided to oust the Mayawati regime as they discovered Mulayam Singh to be more farmer-friendly. Ignorance or negligence of farmers’ agonies apart from the chronic electricity problem in the vast rural areas created unfavourable environment for the BSP, even though Mayawati’s administration is perceived as better than what Netaji had performed during his last term.

The U.P. assembly election results are unlikely to have any impact on stability of U.P.A. government at the centre. Neither does it is a mark to predict the results of 2014 general elections. Media has been quite wrong in calling it the semi-final of the mother of all battles as assembly elections to Gujarat, Himachal Pradesh, Karnataka, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Rajasthan and Delhi are due before 2014. BJP is facing the herculean task of defending 5 out of these 7 states and snatching away the last two from the Congress in these elections. The trajectory of Indian politics since 2009 general elections indicates that Congress’ presence in the next Lok Sabha will be considerably weakened, however on the other hand, BJP will be depending on many regional satraps to prove the majority. If Left Parties could improve their performance in 2014, combination of UPA (minus Trinamool Congress), SP and Left Front can not be ruled out at the centre.

This election, supposed to be the watershed for Rahul Gandhi, has turned out to be the flop show for Congress. The results have failed to provide any inspiration for the rudderless UPA. Unless and until the Congress braces for major changes in the government and party organization, its chances of maintaining its tally in the next Lok Sabha are extremely difficult. The immediate and necessary required change is that of the Prime Minister. Replacing Manmohan Singh with Pranab Mukherjee can provide new synergy and direction to UPA, with new ministerial team devoid of providing electoral results in states like UP and Bihar. Radical changes in government and party can save the Congress from complete debacle in next elections.

The immediate beneficiary of U.P. assembly election results is the incumbent Vice-President of India, Dr. Hamid Ansari, who is now poised to emerge as unanimous choice of secular minded parties for the post of President of India. The SP and BSP, now with a huge electoral collage in UP, and the Left Parties as well as many non-NDA parties will favor Dr. Ansari than any other Congress nominee at the post of President. After the results of 5 assembly elections, it is now certain that Congress can not push for its chosen nominee for the coveted post. The race for Vice-Presidential post remains wide open.