Sunday, March 11, 2012

Understanding the Nature and Scope of Anti-Corruption Movement in India

The movement for creation of institution of Lokpal, spearheahed by an infant organization named India Against Corruption or popularly known as Team Anna, has provoked most of the sections in the Indian society to react and position themselves vis-à-vis this movement. This is the third wave of mass discontent against ‘establishment’ in independent India. The first instance was Jayprakash Narain’s popular movement against the Congress Party’s government at the centre and its various state governments in the decade of 1970s. The second momentum was V.P. Singh’s courageous decision to take on Rajiv Gandhi’s government; in which he served as Foreign Minister, Finance Minister and Defence Minister at one point of time or the other, on the issue of kickbacks in purchasing of Bofors guns for Indian Army. All the three waves of mass discontent at the national level emerged focusing on issues of corruption at the high offices, while rising inflation added fuel to the people’s anger.

First Wave of Mass Discontent

The J.P. movement that began against corruption at high places turned into movement for restoration of democracy in India once the then Prime Minister Indira Gandhi clamped national emergency in 1975 citing internal disturbances as the main cause. This movement was a combination of: right-wing Congress factions who unsuccessfully challenged Indira Gandhi’s leadership and were eventually thrown out of the Congress Party; the land lords and upper strata of social forces that earlier formed the Swantra Party championing free economy; the Jan Sangh backed by the Rashtriya Swaymsevak Sangh (RSS) that has been seeking alteration of Indian polity on ultra-nationalist ideology; the socialist followers of Ram Manohar Lohia; and not the least – the party-less Jayprakash Narain riding high on the shoulders of thousands of idealist youth who wanted to make India an egalitarian and inclusive society. A significant section of the Left, particularly Communist Party of India (Marxist) [CPI(M)], overtly took anti-Congress position after commencement of emergency arguing subversion of human and democratic rights by the authoritarian regime. Muslims in India, for the first time since independence, and so as sizable sections of Dalit in north and east India disserted ranks of Congress Party. Reason for Muslims was said to be the forceful implementation of sterilization programme during the emergency; and for Dalit it was chance for the popular leader Babu Jagjivan Ram to become the Prime Minister, the social revolution in itself. This movement was also powered by the beneficiaries of green revolution, the rich and middle level farmers most of whom belonged to the intermediate castes in Hindu social hierarchy. It had galvanized India’s east, west and north alike – politically and socially. However, the north-eastern part and northern most state of Jammu and Kashmir had little impact of the national churning. Similarly, the Southern States remained engulfed in their respective dynamics, although it could not remain aloof from the long term repercussions of the electoral defeat of the grand old Congress Party, the first ever since the establishment of the Republic. Although the first wave of mass discontent emerged out of sentiments against the corruption, it has contributed nothing in terms of curbing corruption at high places. On the other hand, its socio-political effects were different and far reaching.

The most important result of 1970s movement has been deepening and widening of consciousness against subversion of democratic institutions in general and of Parliament and elections in particular. The opinion generated against authoritarianism, as vindicated in the 1977 general elections, has been so strong that it had put to rest any speculation of India either going the one-party rule, particularly seen in countries of the then communist block, or the military dictatorship being witnessed in some of the South and South-East Asian countries. A related, and equally important development, was collapse of the myth of invincibility of the Congress Party. The TINA factor, There Is No Alternative, forever disappeared from Indian polity. The second important result was emergence of RSS-backed political force at the power centre. Although, Jan Sangh was merged into Janata Party, its leaders and cadres did not severe ties with RSS and continued to practice their core ideology. The partial taste of power in the form of Janata Party government at the centre enthused confidence among RSS ideologues of possibility of emerging as a key national player in some form or the other and ways of implementing their agenda. Thirdly, the Left, in the form of CPI(M), emerged as a viable force and succeeded in constructing political bastion in one of the most populous states of India – West Bengal. The massive popularity of the Left Front in West Bengal for many years since 1977 had unquestionably its roots in taking up fight against authoritarianism at the Centre and semi-fascistic rule of Congress in the state. Fourth, politically and socially marginalized sections began to assess importance of their vote and also their bargaining power. Realization that weakest of the weak can defeat the strongest political entity, empowered the masses to have larger social implications. It has paved the way for formation of identity based politics, particularly in the vast Hindi heartland. Fifth, and quite different, implication was dissociation of many of the youth, of those inspired by J.P.’s ideology of Total Revolution, from electoral politics. Many of them, in turn, have chosen to work among different communities in poor, rural or remote areas; mostly on the issues of their livelihood and sustainable development that includes education, environment and health. Some others followed their suit in following years, thus, creating an un-ignorable network of voluntary organizations and activists commanding respects among their people.

Second Wave of Mass Discontent

Implications of the second wave of mass discontent in late 1980s have been consolidification of many of the repercussions of the first wave on the one hand; and emergence of complex social, economic and political factors to change the landscape of Indian polity on the other hand. First of all, Congress Party was further weakened. Since then, Congress has been unable to muster simple majority in Lok Sabha elections on its own; and also forced to enter into political coalitions at the centre. Secondly, Jan Sangh’s successor, Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), emerged as one of the two largest political parties in India. This emergence has been marked by intense communal divide in society and further political marginalization of Muslims in national politics. Third, as a paradox to rise of Hindu right-wing, social identity based politics has become an important feature of Indian polity. At a policy level, political consensus emerged on providing reservations in jobs and education to historically deprived and marginalized castes and social groups in Hindu society. Fourth, the Left Parties gained importance at the national level as king-maker as 3 of the total 7 Union Governments since 1989 could have been formed with the Left’s outside support. Like the first wave, the right wing BJP, the socialist followers of Lohia and the J.P., the Dalit and Other Backward Castes (OBCs), Muslims and the Left fought against the Congress, although not in unison. During the second wave too, as happened in 1970s, India’s east, west and north further turned away from the Congress. The Southern States, like in 1970s, vacillated but in the longer term non-Congress forces got strengthened including the BJP. The north-east remained largely unaffected; but the state of Jammu and Kashmir, particularly the Kashmir valley, erupted with discontent and anger against the Indian establishment during and in the aftermath of this period; even though there is no overt inter-connectivity between the discontent in the valley and discontent in rest of India.

It is remarkable that most of the social forces and political formations that participated in both the anti-corruption crusades; like the right wing Jan Sangh (and then BJP), the Dalit and OBCs and the Left, consolidated their power bases. In the process, the Swatantra Party elements mostly merged into the BJP and the Lohiaites have been balkanized into social identity groups. On the other hand, Muslims did not gain anything substantially on and after both the occasions and the tribal remained politically voiceless.

It has been argued that the positioning of Lohiaites, Left and Dalit and OBC groups were identical with that of BJP’s during both the waves of mass discontent, resulting into the latter’s gaining of legitimacy in Indian politics. However, right-wing politics, in the form of the BJP, would have gained immensely by capturing the mass discontent against the Congress regimes, particularly on the issues of corruption and inflation, if the other non-Congress forces would not have positioned themselves as they did. For the wide ranging political forces; from ultra right to ultra left to various social groups, discontent against corruption served as a secular issue to fight against the establishment in order to garner support and legitimacy. On the other hand, futility of both the waves to produce concrete mechanism or alter the political-economic system to effectively curb menace of corruption resulted into co-option of opponents of the Congress regime into the establishment or the system. Till 1989 Congress Party was considered as the natural agency to govern and hence, had been identified as establishment. The socio-political developments since second wave of mass discontent shows that the space of Congress as part of establishment has been constantly eroded while the BJP, Left and Dalit and OBC groups/parties have been encroaching into the establishment.

A significant development since the second wave of mass discontent has been pronouncement of economic liberalization in India. A major plank to sell the idea of economic liberalization policy has been the argument that an economic system dominated by the State is bound to be corrupt and inefficient, hence needs to be altered. Government of the politically weak Congress Party during 1991-1996, which was also in the minority in the Lok Sabha, succeeded in firmly introducing neo-liberalization mainly because people, at large, were unwilling to keep on embracing the system against which it had rose twice in the past. In the process, people’s discontent got fragmented into protection and promotion of social and communal identities. As a direct result of it, the secular world-view of progressive movements too got fractured and it had to take up fight against single issues at different places calling itself the people’s movements. Even after the electoral mandate of 2004 and the historic role that the Left parties played at the centre for next 4 years, masses did not rise in action against the neo-liberalization. It is in this context that the third wave of mass discontent erupted in India in 2011.

Third Wave of Mass Discontent

Like the earlier two occasions, third wave of mass discontent has the background of massive government scams and inaction against corrupt politicians and bureaucrats. There are few more commonalities; ever-rising inflation, presence of Congress Government at the centre and Gandhi-Nehru dynasty at the receiving end of the mass discontent. Another striking similarity of all the three momentums has been the backdrop of impressive electoral performances by the Congress Party in the general elections that perpetuated the fear of never ending Gandhi-Nehru dynastic rule over India. Similarities, nonetheless, end here, while the differentiations are strikingly noteworthy.

The first differentiation between earlier two movements and the incumbent movement is the latter’s success in clear articulation of its goal and objectives. The movement focused on creation of an institution of Lokpal through a parliamentary legislation. In fact, no political party or group denied necessity of institution of Lokpal. The differences remained on its structure, role, scope and powers.

The second major differentiation is in the nature of the leadership. In 1970s and in late 1980s, political parties and political leadership were the main agencies and actors mobilizing and leading the masses against the respective incumbent central governments. However, the third wave of mass discontent has been led by non-political entities named Anna Hazare – a social activist who has developed a backward village in Maharashtra on the Gandhian principles; Kiran Bedi – a retired senior officer of Indian Police Services; Arvind Kejariwal – Right to Information activist who had resigned from Indian Revenue Services; Prashant Bhushan – a successful lawyer at the Supreme Court known for his passion for human rights; and Medha Patkar – founder of Narmada Bachao Andolan. None of them had ever contested elections nor been members of any political parties. This movement has not thrown, so far, any significant political figure(s) in sharp contrast to earlier two occasions.

The third differentiation is that the third wave of mass discontent is not merely directed against the incumbent government but also against the established ‘political class.’ People in the movement revered the non-political activists and hated all the politicians alike. The movement and its leadership have been severely criticized for the same; however, without serious introspection by the ‘political class’ and its defenders such criticism is proving to be self-defeating.

All the political parties agreed to the main demand of the movement, i.e. creation of institution of Lok Pal; however, all of them, except the BJP, articulated their positions against content and intent of the movement. Congress Party’s main criticism has been that the movement subverts the parliamentary procedures and prerogatives of the government bestowed upon it by the voters for 5 years. Many regional parties, like Trinamool Congress, DMK as well as AIADMK and NCP, shared this view. The Left said the movement has been crowded by the middle and upper middle class people who have not been uncomfortable with neoliberal policies. On the top of it, the Left alleged, the movement has been funded by the corporate sector. The social identity based political parties and caste based social groups countered the movement arguing that it has been led and dominated by the upper castes and real agenda of this movement has been subversion of the reservation system by undermining the Constitution. Muslim groups and tribal mostly remained aloof from the movement. BJP did not voice its criticism but remained ambivalent about whole-heartedly participating in it. On the other hand, BJP’s key ally Shiv Sena vehemently opposed Anna Hazare’s leadership and criticized the movement. BJP’s ambivalence emerged from two interlinked factors; one, some of its own leaders have been engulfed in the corruption cases and two, the mass mobilizations during the movement have been so apathetic towards the political parties that any overtures from the BJP might have boom-ranged on it. On the other hand, BJP refrained from criticizing the movement because the middle class, which BJP considers as its core constituency, has been sympathetic to the government. Even though BJP kept a safe distance from the movement, RSS has issued directives to its followers to participate in it.

In this overall context, a natural question that arises is who participated in the countrywide massive mobilizations under the banner of India against Corruption if all of the political parties, most of the social/caste based organizations, Muslim groups and tribal maintained a distance from it. One obvious answer is the RSS and the middle class. But some of the prominent figures in this movement, e.g. Prashant Bhushan and Medha Patkar, have been at the loggerheads with RSS as well as BJP on various issues since last many years. Majority of the people who participated were neither mobilized through RSS shakhas nor had any impression that they were participating in a movement organized or led by RSS. Similarly, middle and upper middle class have been more inclined towards liberalism and composite culture and dislikes many of RSS’ extreme ideals and views. Also, scale of the massive support emerged for Team Anna’s agitation in the month of August 2011, has gone beyond the size of the middle class in India. Nonetheless, fact remains that RSS participated in this movement so as the middle class. This convergence is intriguingly interesting. The movement emerged from third wave of mass discontent has a distinctive feature of ‘core’ of the movement and ‘periphery’ of the movement. While ‘core’ anchored the movement, ‘periphery’ participated in it providing real strength to the movement. In a paradoxical situation, Indian society’s those sections who have been benefitted most by the neo-liberal policies and part of those sections, which have neither been benefitted from the neo-liberal policies nor from the State’s welfare measures, are part of this movement.

‘Core’ of the Movement

Neo-liberalism has produced three distinguished sections in Indian society that have now begun to exert their influence on polity. The privatization, entry of MNCs and boom in Information-Technology driven by the private sector has created a neo-rich middle and upper middle class. Supplementary to it, a new entrepreneur class has come into existence in urban India. Together, they all represent first section of the neo-liberal troika. The second section has come into existence in the form of Non Governmental Organizations (NGOs). State’s partial withdrawal from the public sphere has simultaneously seen promotion of NGOs. Many of these NGOs compete with the State’s space in the society even while receiving funds from the government or its agencies. Many other NGOs receive funds from foreign agencies and want to perform the State’s duties. Today these NGOs have significantly created networking among people and their role in opinion shaping can not be ignored. The third section that has gained strength during neo-liberal era is electronic, print and digital media. This section is dependent on neo-rich urban class for profit, however, it exerts influences on wider sections of Indian society. All these three sections, which are products of neo-liberalism, look at the ‘political class’ as the main source of corruption that has been looting country’s resources. According to them, politicians’ greed for power and money compels the other sectors, like corporate, media and private entrepreneurs for corrupt practices. Therefore, curbing the corruption at the political offices assumes highest priority for these three sections.

The fourth section, some of the people’s movements, voluntary organizations and social activists, are not a product of neo-liberalism but participated in the present movement. Many of them have been involved in the J.P. movement of 1970s or have been inspired by that legacy and since then independently working on different issues in different forms and at different places. They emphasize on upholding Gandhian principles of morality in public sphere. They also believe in decentralization of financial and administrative powers. According to them, centralization of powers lead to corruption and the existing ‘political class’ perpetuates centralization and indulges in corruption. They believe that ‘Ganga’ of corruption flows from top to down. Hence, eliminating corruption at the top is the first essential step to curb the overall menace of corruption. Like the first three sections, they also hold the existing ‘political class’ mainly responsible for widespread corruption in the country. These four sections constitute the ‘core’ of the incumbent movement arising out of third wave of mass discontent.

The first three sections, as described above, are pro-globalization, practices wealthy life style and mostly comprise of urban based population. People and organizations in the fourth section vary in their approaches to the globalization and at best could be summarized as cautious and wary of economic globalization. They believe in austerity and preach simple living as envisaged under Gandhian world-view; and many of them work among rural communities. Despite these basic differences, the fourth section can form an alliance with the first three sections mainly because goal of the present movement is well defined, i.e. creation of an institution of Lok Pal as envisaged in the Jan Lok Pal Bill prepared by Team Anna. These sections conceive Lok Pal as faithful representative of the civil society, who will investigate and prosecute the corrupt politicians and bureaucrats.

This is not to suggest that all the people’s movements and voluntary organizations participated in the present movement. Significant number of them has kept away from the agitation. Similarly not all NGOs participated or sympathize with the movement. Reasons of their non-participation vary from simple ego issues to disagreements on nature of agitation to disliking for socio-economic character of other participants. Many voluntary organizations are working according to the principles of advocacy rather than confrontation with the State and hence preferred to stay away from the agitation. Many people’s movements and social activists objected to the elite character of the participants and could not associate themselves with the movement.

Even though, ‘core’ of the movement is resourceful and influential; nonetheless, it does not have the numerical capacity to threaten the government and the established political class. Countrywide massive mobilizations seen during Anna Hazare’s three fasts in Delhi in different months in 2011 does not merely represents ‘core’ sections but a larger participation beyond it. This larger participation constitutes ‘periphery’ of the movement.

‘Periphery’ of the Movement

‘Periphery’ of the movement is much more complex and difficult to categorize. The first section in the ‘periphery’ is comprised of small traders, shopkeepers, small distributors and urban/semi-urban people involved in cottage industries. Most of them face regular harassments at the hands of police and municipal authorities. They could relate with the concept of Lok Pal as an institution that will keep checks on police and bureaucracy. Second section in the ‘periphery’ includes smaller organizations and unions in the urban and semi-urban areas like the transport unions or union of Dabbewallas in Mumbai or union of the working people at the Dhobi Ghat of Mumbai. This section is mostly disenchanted with the political class and would like to see an institution that would make the political class accountable and responsible towards its duties. The third and a major component of the ‘periphery’ has been the urban youth; unemployed, semi-employed or involved in petty businesses. Similarly, large number of college and university students, whose future will certainly be like their youth counterparts, joined the ranks in the movement. This section is well connected through cell phones and internet; and they are under the influence of BPO culture of the metropolitan cities. Along with general frustration with the political class, they look forward to contribute positively towards betterment of the society and the country. The fourth section of the ‘periphery’ is diverse ‘spiritual’ organizations as well as smaller political parties and political organizations. Their purpose of participation in this movement is either to get connected to the people who are out on the streets, or to isolate the Congress-led Central government, or to serve both the purposes. Organizations connected to spiritual guru Shri Ravishankar or Ramdev, many small organizations in different cities and towns that subscribe to non-Congress (or anti-Congress) ideology but are not linked to any major political party as well as the RSS and the CPI (Marxist-Leninist) belong to this category. Overall, these four categories form the ‘periphery’ providing numerical strength to the present movement.

People who participated in the movement from ‘periphery’ could not be classified as beneficiaries of neo-liberal policies; neither do they belong to middle or upper strata of the society nor all of them have origins in the socially higher castes in Hindu society. On the other hand, most of them are equally frustrated with the political class and are fed up with non-existence of electoral alternatives. Most importantly, they have increasingly been isolated from the State’s welfare and social emancipation measures, either due to State’s withdrawal or inefficiency of those policies itself. Again, ‘periphery’ does not represent all the people in the country but sections of it. Particularly those poor and marginalized people having organic links with political parties and been benefitted from their programmes stayed away from the movement.

Conclusion

The third wave of mass discontent is general expression of disenchantment with the established political class. The ‘core’ of the movement is aware of its limitations in terms of numerical strength and lack of cohesive ideology. Therefore, it has defined the goal of the movement in clear terms, i.e. creation of Lok Pal; and objectives as cleaning up the political system from corruption that includes money and muscle powers. The ‘core’ does not have organizational mechanism, so far, to mobilize the ‘periphery’. On the other hand, ‘periphery’s’ participation has been enthusiastic and self-motivated. The ‘core’ is not antithetical to neo-liberal policies and in many ways favors withdrawal of the State. The ‘periphery’ is not mobilized against the neo-liberal policies neither does it view the State as useful entity. The ‘core’ and the ‘periphery’ together represent a wider section of Indian people, who are not influenced or impressed by any of the political formations. On the other hand, political parties lack the programmes that could mobilize these people. Many of the political parties and social formations, once seen as fighting against the establishment during the first and second wave of mass discontents, have now been seen as part of the establishment.

People’s participation in the movement for Lok Pal indicates the political vaccume existing in India. At the time of independence, seven major ideological formations were competing with each other to build the future of India. First, the Congress Party as the umbrella organization and with mixed economy favoring Indian capitalists was the leading force. Second, the socialists emphasized morality in public sphere and State-ownership of major industries. Third, the Hindu right-wing organizations, mainly the RSS and Jan Sangh, envisaged a majoritarian Hindutva-based polity. Fourth, a small group of ideologues led by C Rajgopalachari and supported by some of the capitalists, land-lords and princely lobby aspired for free economy. Fifth, the communists were fighting for alteration of economic and political system on the lines of egalitarian Marxist principles of equal distribution and public ownership of all the means of productions. Sixth, organizations fighting for social emancipation and social equality; inspired by the thoughts and leadership of Dr. Ambedkar, Periyar and others. And seventh, Gandhian principles of village self-reliance and austerity. All of these seven ideological formations have undergone changes and built their bases or experienced erosion in their support; some have even become extinct from political sphere, as a result of first and second wave of mass discontents during 1970s and late 1980s.

The third wave of mass discontent now indicates that political formations based on these ideologies have been exhausted in terms of reaching out to significant sections of the people. Today, India is divided between those having faith in any of these political formations and those who are willing to reject all of them and still not having any other viable alternatives. As a result, even the present movement limits itself to the creation of Lok Pal and cleaning of political system from the corrupt elements rather than trying to form coherent ideological alternative to the existing political formations.

Wukan in Perspective

A ‘small-town size’ Chinese village of Wukan hit the headlines in international media last month over its protest actions. Wukan is based in country’s wealthiest southern province of Guangdong and is near the Hong Kong. Wukan is a village only in legal terminology, but is relatively bigger than many other villages in China. Western media has reported its population at 13,000; but China’s People’s Daily described it as village of 11,000 people, while news reports in The Hindu, an Indian English newspaper, tallied the protesting village population at around 20,000. Wukan hosts a natural harbor on Pacific Ocean that makes it an attractive destination for industry and real estate developers.

Background

The fishing village had been boiling since September, 2011 on the issue of corrupt land transfer deals wherein their elected representatives along with local functionaries of Communist Party of China (CPC) handed over the collective village land to ‘developers’ without adequately compensating the villagers. In addition to it, handing over of nearby fishing area in the sea to a large fishing company worked as a last straw in the coffin. Protesting villagers alleged that the Village Committee has been systematically selling off or granting long term leases of the collective land since 1993.

A Hong-Kong listed company, called Country Garden, is involved in the allegedly corrupt land deal at Wukan. Its chairperson, Yang Huiyuan, is rated as one of the richest persons in China. This is not for the first time that Country Garden has courted a controversy in its deal. Quoting Xinhua, China’s government news agency, International Herald Tribune (IHT) reported, “This year (2011) the company has purchased Anhui Province land to build a Golf Course in a deal that smacked of the typical collision of real estate business and local government.” The same edition also reported, quoting from Southern Weekly’s report, that in the year 2007 irregularities were alleged in a hotel construction contract awarded to Country Garden by a District administration in Hunan Province. [IHT, Dec 17-18, 2011, p. 7]

In last 18 years, 60% of the collective land has been taken off from the villagers. According to the investigative Chinese journal Caixin, as quoted by Elizabeth C Economy, the Village Committee in Wukan had earned over 700 million yuan (about $110 million) from selling collectively-owned village land, but it disbursed only 550 yuan (roughly US$86) to each villager. (Economy, Elizabeth C, Occupy Wukan: China’s 99 Percent, 15h Dec. 2011, www.blogs.cfr.org/asia/2011/12/15/occupy-wukan-china’s-99-percent/) There has been allegedly no accounting of the entire money earned and disbursed through land sale deals. Villagers tried to address the problem through Grievance Redress Mechanism. Between July 2009 to March 2011, villagers have petitioned 5 times to Lufeng County government and 7 times to Guangdong Provincial government, but of no avail.

Protest Actions

In September, 2011, villagers gave up the hope of justice through the grievance redress mechanism and, for the first time, hit the streets. The protest went on for 2 days, which also turned violent as police vehicles were burnt and government offices were ransacked. Shanwei authorities, which supervise administrative work at Wukan, immediately moved in the riot control police that, according to villagers, indulged in large scale brutality. The local authorities promised to enquire into allegations of corrupt land deals. Authorities also sacked 2 party officials in the village, along with an offer to the villagers to form their own committee to negotiate with it. In turn, villagers chose 12 people as their representatives that included 42 year old Xue Jinbo. What transpired during negotiations, including how many rounds of talks were held, is still unclear. In December, spokesman of the Lufeng County government condemned the earlier protests and termed them as illegal. Zheng Yanxiong, party secretary for Shanwei city, perfectly summed up local authorities position, “If we meet all the villagers’ demands then it will raise all of society’s expectations too high.” [Financial Times, Dec. 20, 2011]

It has once again deteriorated the situation and villagers staged a sit-in to protest high-handed attitude of local authorities. In response to the protest, the authorities abducted 5 villagers by sending in police in plain-clothes. 2 days later, on 11th December, one of these 5 villagers – Xue Jinbo - died in police custody. The villagers claimed that he succumbed to the injuries inflicted upon him by the police, while authorities maintained that he died of the heart attack. Authorities refused to hand over body of the deceased to the villagers. This led to angry protests by Wukan residents, who chased away all government and CPC functionaries from the village, and cordoned off the village to prevent police from entering into it. The self-siege went on for 10 days, when Wukan had no presence of and contacts with government and CPC authorities. The residents also threatened to march into Lufeng county city if their demands remained unmet.

Role of Media

During the 10 days siege, neither telephone-mobile connections nor internet services of the village were snapped. The villagers could smuggle in essential commodities from nearby villages that helped them to sustain the self-siege for 10 long days. Chinese officials mostly censored the news related to Wukan in government controlled media, but Guangdong has many freewheeling publications that covered the developments in Wukan. International media got attracted to it only in the last phase, i.e. when angry villagers drove out the government authorities, which was made public by The Telegraph on 13th December. Hong Kong based Apple Daily, which is always at loggerheads with CPC, sent 7 people to cover the incident. Wukan’s proximity to Hong Kong also helped international journalists to approach it and many of them succeeded in breaching police cordon to enter the village. Similarly, some of the enthusiast Chinese bloggers reached Wukan to witness the ‘autonomous zone’.

Sensing opportunity to make their voices heard in Beijing, villagers converted an empty 2-story building in the village as media centre. Owner of the building, a Christian family, had moved to Hong Kong sometime back. Presence of powerful media had boosted villagers’ confidence. “We were very scared a day or two ago, but now, with the whole world watching, we don’t think they will dare do anything to us,” said a young villager, who was half-jokingly conferred the title of Wukan’s Foreign Minister by others [Financial Times, December 16, 2011]. Villagers consciously undertook efforts not to send any wrong signals to Beijing. Villagers imposed on the journalists not to report the incident as ‘uprising’. They also raised the banners reading ‘We are not Revolt’, ‘We Love the country’, and ‘We support the CPC’. In their interactions in the village; journalists, as reported by almost all present there, could understand that the villagers have had high expectations from leaders in Beijing. Villagers also impressed upon the journalists, as reported by many, that the Beijing has not yet intervened because the local functionaries must have misled the central leadership. As one villager said, “They [local authorities] have lied to us so many times, we just can’t trust them. Only the top government leaders and party central [committee] can save us and give us back our land.” Few villagers also talked about need of a ‘real democracy’, but qualified that they are not in fight with the Communist Party. One village leader, as reported by the Financial Times, said, “We want open, transparent democratic elections not just for our village or the county or city but also for the whole country, including the top leaders; I’m not an expert but I don’t think there’s a big contradiction between loving and supporting the Communist Party and asking for real democracy in China.” [Financial Times, December 18, 2011]

Resolution of the Siege

The ice was finally broken when the provincial level officials began talking to the villagers. Zhu Mingguo, deputy Party chief of Guangdong, held direct talks with the villagers and promised them fair and open investigations. Lin Zuluan, Wukan’s 65 year old chief negotiator, said that ‘unlike the local and County-level authorities, the Provincial representatives were sympathetic to villagers and did not condemn or term the protests illegal.’ In return of freeing of all the detained villagers, it was decided to lift the siege and proposed protest march to Lufeng was cancelled. Provincial authorities cancelled the results of village elections and village secretary of the CPC as well as elected head of the Village Committee remained removed from their posts. Main issue of the land was not resolved immediately but the authorities agreed to enquire into issues of financial irregularities and compensation. The initial response to Wukan, as promised by deputy Provincial chief, was swift and in favor of the villagers. It is best summed up by China Daily, a government controlled newspaper, on 31st December 2011 in its news report titled ‘Initial Probe Supports Villagers’ Request’:

“The main requests of the residents of a southern village in county level city of Lufeng, Guangdong province, regarding financing, land use and violation of law and discipline by village heads are reasonable, a preliminary investigation has found. The investigation, conducted by a special provincial work group since Dec 19 and released on Friday, indicated that some local officials violated the law and ethics of office while selling farmlands in Wukan village for commercial use…….. “The issue of land use, including collecting the land from villagers and selling to developers, has not been publicly and fairly disclosed to the residents since the 1990s,” said Yang Junbo, deputy director of the provincial department of land and resources, who is in charge of investigating the land issue under the provincial workgroup.

Since 1993, the former Wukan village committee sold about 42 hectares of farmland for commercial use. Only 3.6 hectares of that were approved or officially registered for use by local authorities, the preliminary investigation showed.

The village of 11,000 people has a total area of 638 hectares, of which 88 hectares arearable land. In one case, residents requested the return of 30 hectares of farmland that was developed jointly in by the village committee and a Hong kong company. The sale of the land, which was actually 4 hectares larger than the approved area was not disclosed to residents. In response to the villagers’ request, the Lufeng government has annulled the land transaction and is planning to compensate the developer and return the land to villagers for farming, said local government sources.

A number of local officials, including Xue Chang, former village Party Chief, and Chen Shunyi, head of the village committee, are alleged to have embezzled public assets and to have accepted bribes during the sale of farmland. Xue and Chen have been removed from their posts and the provincial work group said that an election of a new village committee will be held. “We will further investigate alleged violations of law and ethics of local officials involved in the village issue, regardless of how high their positions are, and we will inform residents of the results as soon as possible,” said Zeng Qingrong, deputy director of the Guangdong provincial department of supervision.

Regarding the financing issue, the work group found there is reason to suspect some former local officials of depositing public money into their personal bank accounts and using it without approval. Former village Party chief, Xue, allegedly purchased a car worth 20,000 yuan ($31,250) for personal use in July 2010. “Residents seldom benefitted from the land sales. We will instruct the local village committee to build a transparent and fair financing system in the near future,” said Gu Xingwei, deputy director of the Guangdong provincial department of agriculture, who is in charge of the village financing issue investigation.” [China Daily, Dec. 31, 2011]

Wang Yang: Rising Star of CPC

Decision against use of force at Wukan, it is understood, was taken by Polit Bureau member and secretary of Guangdong province Wang Yang. As a secretary of China’s wealthiest province since 2007, Yang implemented few reforms that immediately made him competitor for a seat on Standing Committee of the Polit Bureau. The elite party body is set for overhaul in late 2012 as 7 of its 9 members are facing compulsory retirement. Yang has been emphasizing on ‘thought emancipation’ and ‘protecting economic rights of some of the grass roots’. Although his plan for pilot political reforms in Shenzen, the commercial centre of Guangdong, did not materialize, Yang proceeded with protracted reforms that could have long term implications. He supervised restructuring of 41 separate government departments and their parallel party structures into 16 compact organs in the Shunde district. The new structure clearly outlines responsibilities of party functionaries and government officials. In a path-breaking move in October 2009, Yang decided to publish Guangzhou’s, Guangdong’s capital city, budget. This was ironically coincided with Shanghai authorities’ refusal for the same, terming the city budget as state secret. Guangdong also relaxed norms for registration of non-governmental organizations (NGOs). The number of NGOs in Guangdong is already rising at triple the rate of national average. [IHT, Dec. 31, 2011, p.2] Last year, Wang Yang allowed the workers at various factories in the province to protest and restrained the police from arresting union leaders. Subsequently, workers’ wages were raised by about 20%, the first significant rise in many years. Yang is believed to be locked in a competition with Chongqing party secretary Bo Xilai for position in the top party body. Bo Xilai responds to organized crime as well as dissents in a similar fashion. Bo has earned his position as a conservative in the party by emphasizing on chanting of Maoist songs of Cultural Revolution era. At a time, when critics began to place Bo and Yang at the same level; pointing out that there is no difference between the two in the matter of suppression of dissents, Yang has demonstrated his will to resolve the grievances in favor of the ‘grass roots.’ At Wukan, Yang faced a choice between exerting repression to maintain ‘social stability’ and showing flexibility to avoid bloodbath. It is noteworthy that he immediately won praises in China’s semi-official newspaper People’s Daily for his courageous political act. The Hindu cited a Guangdong newspaper in which Wang Yang was quoted as follows: “There was something accidental about the Wukan incident but it was also inevitable. This is the outcome of conflicts that have accumulated over a long time in the course of economic and social development. It was the inevitable result of the government adopting an approach of having one hard hand and one soft hand when dealing with social and economic issues respectively.” [The Hindu, Dec. 21, 2011]

Rising Mass Incidents

‘Mass Incidents’ are officially defined as any kind of planned or impromptu gathering as a result of ‘internal contradictions’, which includes mass public speeches, physical conflicts, airing of grievances or any other forms of group behavior that may pose a threat to social stability. However, police and civic authorities apply different parameters to record the mass incidents. Police tend to include as many incidents as possible to prove their efficiency as well as to support their budget. On the other hand, civic authorities like to list minimal mass incidents under area of their supervision to indicate their popularity and acceptance.

In 1993, Ministry of Public Security recorded the number of mass incidents at 8,709. It reached the number of 87,000 for the year 2005. Government has stopped publishing National Statistics on mass incidents since 2005. Today, various reports claim the unprecedented rise in number of mass incidents in China, which are roughly estimated between 1,00,000 to 1,80,000 per year. However, this number refers to a very broad category of ‘public order disturbances’ including protests against government, ethnic riots, clashes among communities, activities of secret societies, organized crime, gambling and even hacking. However, there can be no denying the fact that social unrest in China is undoubtedly on rise and land issue and corruption are among the main reasons of increasing protests by the people all over the country.

Land Issue in China

According to Li Fan of Beijing-based World and China Institute, 50% to 60% of Chinese villages have been facing the similar problems, as experienced by Wukan, in terms of transparent governance and financial accountability. [IHT, Dec 27, 2011, p. 4] China has about 6,25,000 villages.

On paper, Chinese Law has empowered the villagers to decide about sale of their collectively owned land. However, matter has often been decided by elected representatives of the Village Committee. A common pretext for sale of the collective village land is to raise finances to provide civic services to the villagers. Collective land has also been used arbitrarily to build roads, power stations or any other infrastructure related development. Apart from this, the Village Committee sale or leases out the land to private developers to earn revenue for village’s development. With the introduction of local elections and constitution of elected Committees, Central and Provincial governments have transferred the responsibilities related to village level developments to the Village Committee. On the other hand, Village Committees do not have sufficient rights to levy adequate taxes to meet their expenses. New taxes are often subject to approval by the higher authorities, prompting the Village Committees to adopt easier way of sale of land to raise revenues. Similarly, land sale too requires permission from higher authorities that has created a chain of village to county to province level corrupt officials. The booming real estate industry in China is thriving on such corrupt deals. 8 out of China’s top 10 billionaires are involved in real estate developments, and in turn, in murky land deals. The kickbacks involved in such murky deals have converted the Village Elections into power games. Local CPC functionaries poured in lots of money to get elected to the offices. The CPC secretary of the Wukan village has remained the same since 1970, until last September, when angry villagers’ protests compelled the authorities to sack him. Similarly, 5 of the 9 members have been continuing in the Village Committee since introduction of the system in late 1980s.

According to China’s State Council, in 2011 alone, 1.1 million hectares of land has been transferred for non-agricultural use. Out of it, around 7,00,000 hectares were transferred illegally, resulting into many more joining the migratory army of unemployed and underemployed in China. In last 2 decades, approximately 75 million peasants in China have been driven out of agriculture, merging into 200 million rural residents who often migrate to urban areas in search of jobs. [Muldavin, Joshua, ‘China’s Shaky Economic Foundation, IHT, Dec. 31, 2011, p.6] This unstable and vulnerable population is one of the main cause of social instability in China. Immediately after the resolution of Wukan’s self-siege, Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao said, “China can no longer sacrifice farmers’ land rights for the sake of reducing the cost of urbanization and industrialization.” [ibid]

Conclusion

There are instances in the CPC’s recent history wherein the Party seized the moment and transformed its own policies according to the lessons learnt at the grass roots. CPC’s official history states that the de-collectivization of land and the Village Elections were initiated by the people at the micro level. The CPC, then, adopted them at the macro-level. Now, challenge before the 5th generation leadership, which will be at the helm of affairs in less than a year, is to learn appropriate lessons from the Wukan protests to ensure social stability in China. Wukan protests included two important elements: corrupt land deals and unethical behavior of local government officials. The central authorities tend to undermine such protests by terming them as complaints of petty-corruption against local government or businesspersons. At a deeper level, the protests, however, were more a result of systemic failure than the cyclical process in China. It indicate lack of rule of law, lack of transparent governance and lack of official accountability. Such protests underline the inefficiency of China’s grievance redress mechanism, which, in fact, has no relevance if fair judicial system is firmly established. The grass root protests also emphasize the need of bringing in more transparency and accountability in the Village elections and functioning of Village committees.

The Wukan protests also showed level of infiltration of internet and news media in China. It is becoming increasingly difficult for Chinese authorities to control and censor everything in the country. Chinese government also seems to realize that complete censorship will be counter-productive for it as Chinese youth is intensely engaging with the internet and the outside world. On the other hand, there are hints in the handling of Wukan protests that Chinese government is becoming conscious of its international image; hence, it has resolved the issue peacefully when it became the world-wide news.

The Wukan protests re-emphasized lack of connectivity between grass root protests and dissent of the intelligentsia in China. The grass root protests are emerging out of livelihood issues, whereas dissent of the intelligentsia aspires to change the one-party dominated state system. Unlike the dissenting intelligentsia, grass root protests still hold the CPC and its central leadership in high esteem and expectations. The dissenting intelligentsia, on the other hand, is unable to comprehend misery of the people involved in grass root protests. As a consequence, the CPC faces no imminent threat from the protests and dissents.

Friday, March 9, 2012

Political Implications of U.P. Assembly Election Results

Uttar Pradesh is set to become the northern Tamil Nadu of India. For second consecutive term, people of Uttar Pradesh have given decisive mandate to a single party to rule. On the other hand, lofty dreams of two national parties to stage come back in the heartland of Indian politics suffered heavy blow despite their all out efforts to woo the voters. In 2007, Bahujan Samaj Party formed the government with clear majority of 206 seats in the assembly of 404 members. This time, Samajwadi Party, minus Amar Singh, managed to secure the clearest ever mandate in Uttar Pradesh since 1985 elections. Vote swing of 4% against BSP resulted in its drubbing, while gain of 5% votes by SP increased its tally by more than the double of what it had 5 years ago. That time everyone had written off Mulayam Singh and now many may tempt to make the same mistake by writing the obituary to Mayawati’s political career. However, this could just be the beginning of cyclical process in India’s most populous state. In all likelihood, Mayawati’s BSP stands a chance to return to power in 2017 with the support of same social groups that have deserted her in this election. After all, in the southern state of Tamil Nadu, every time DMK is wiped out, it comes back with a vengeance in next elections. So is true about AIADMK. However, one of the national parties, either Congress or BJP, can break this prospective cycle in U.P. if it can win over the single largest floating group in the state, i.e. the Brahmins. In the two successive U.P. assembly elections, Brahmins have emerged as kingmaker in the state. Their substantial strength of more than 11% with considerable rural base can be termed as third largest politically influential group in the state; after the Muslims who are around 25% and Dalits who are around 22%. In last elections, Brahmins had casted their fortunes with BSP, while this time around they have made favours to SP. Addition of 11% Brahmin votes to SP’s consolidated vote bank of 25% Muslims and 7% Yadavas is unbeatable formula in the caste-ridden politics of U.P. Apart from the Brahmin’s disenchantment with Behenji, the reasons of which are unclear yet, farmers in the state have decided to oust the Mayawati regime as they discovered Mulayam Singh to be more farmer-friendly. Ignorance or negligence of farmers’ agonies apart from the chronic electricity problem in the vast rural areas created unfavourable environment for the BSP, even though Mayawati’s administration is perceived as better than what Netaji had performed during his last term.

The U.P. assembly election results are unlikely to have any impact on stability of U.P.A. government at the centre. Neither does it is a mark to predict the results of 2014 general elections. Media has been quite wrong in calling it the semi-final of the mother of all battles as assembly elections to Gujarat, Himachal Pradesh, Karnataka, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Rajasthan and Delhi are due before 2014. BJP is facing the herculean task of defending 5 out of these 7 states and snatching away the last two from the Congress in these elections. The trajectory of Indian politics since 2009 general elections indicates that Congress’ presence in the next Lok Sabha will be considerably weakened, however on the other hand, BJP will be depending on many regional satraps to prove the majority. If Left Parties could improve their performance in 2014, combination of UPA (minus Trinamool Congress), SP and Left Front can not be ruled out at the centre.

This election, supposed to be the watershed for Rahul Gandhi, has turned out to be the flop show for Congress. The results have failed to provide any inspiration for the rudderless UPA. Unless and until the Congress braces for major changes in the government and party organization, its chances of maintaining its tally in the next Lok Sabha are extremely difficult. The immediate and necessary required change is that of the Prime Minister. Replacing Manmohan Singh with Pranab Mukherjee can provide new synergy and direction to UPA, with new ministerial team devoid of providing electoral results in states like UP and Bihar. Radical changes in government and party can save the Congress from complete debacle in next elections.

The immediate beneficiary of U.P. assembly election results is the incumbent Vice-President of India, Dr. Hamid Ansari, who is now poised to emerge as unanimous choice of secular minded parties for the post of President of India. The SP and BSP, now with a huge electoral collage in UP, and the Left Parties as well as many non-NDA parties will favor Dr. Ansari than any other Congress nominee at the post of President. After the results of 5 assembly elections, it is now certain that Congress can not push for its chosen nominee for the coveted post. The race for Vice-Presidential post remains wide open.

Thursday, March 8, 2012

रशियात पुटीनशाहीचा विजय

रशियामध्ये व्लादिमिर पुटीन यांनी राष्ट्राध्यक्षपदाची निवडणूक मोठ्या मताधिक्याने जिंकत पुढील ६ वर्षांसाठी आपले एकछत्री राज्य पुर्नस्थापित केले आहे. ४ मार्च रोजी झालेल्या निवडणुकीत पुटीन यांना ६३.६% मते मिळाल्याचे रशियाच्या केंद्रीय निवडणूक आयोगाने जाहीर केल्यानंतर आता त्यांची राष्ट्राध्यक्षपदाची ३ री कारकीर्द सुरु होणार आहे. यापूर्वी, सन २००० ते २००४ आणि सन २००४ ते २००८ अशा राष्ट्राध्यक्षपदाच्या २ लोकप्रिय कारकीर्दीनंतर रशियाच्या राज्यघटनेनुसार त्यांना सलग तिसऱ्यांदा या सर्वोच्च पदाची निवडणूक लढवणे शक्य नव्हते. त्यामुळे, सन २००८ मध्ये पुटीन यांनी त्यांच्या युनायटेड रशिया पक्षाचे मेदवेदेव यांना ४ वर्षांसाठी राष्ट्राध्यक्ष होण्याची संधी दिली होती. मेदवेदेव यांच्या सद्य-प्रशासनात पुटीन पंतप्रधानाच्या भूमिकेत आहेत. रशियाच्या संसदेत युनायटेड रशिया पक्षाला असलेल्या दोन त्रीत्युयांश बहुमताचा फायदा घेत पुटीन यांनी घटना दुरुस्तीद्वारे सन २०१२ नंतर राष्ट्राध्यक्षपदाची कारकीर्द ४ ऐवजी ६ वर्षांची असेल अशी तरतूद करून घेतली होती. ३ महिन्यापूर्वी झालेल्या संसदीय निवडणुकीत युनायटेड रशिया पक्षाला दोन त्रीत्युयांश बहुमत गमावत साध्या बहुमतावर समाधान मानावे लागले होते. संसदीय निवडणुकीत मोठ्या प्रमाणात धांदली झाल्याचे आरोप करत मागील ३ महिन्यात पुटीन विरोधकांनी विरोध प्रदर्शनांचा धूमधडाका उडवून दिला होता. त्यामुळे पुटीन यांना ही निवडणूक कठीण जाईल असे भाकित वर्तवण्यात येत होते. प्रत्यक्षात, राष्ट्राध्यक्षपदाच्या निवडणुकीत दुसऱ्या क्रमांकावर आलेल्या साम्यवादी पक्षाच्या गेन्नादी झ्युगानोव यांना १७.९% मतांवरच समाधान मानावे लागले. झ्युगानोव हे बोरिस येल्तसिन यांच्या काळापासून राष्ट्राध्यक्षपदाच्या शर्यतीत असल्याने मतदार त्यांना कंटाळले आहेत असे राजकीय निरीक्षकांचे मत आहे. झ्युगानोव यांनी लढाऊपणे रशियात साम्यवादी पक्षाची पुन्हा स्थापना केली आणि पक्षाचा जनाधारसुद्धा वाढवला. मात्र, दुसऱ्या फळीचे सशक्त नेतृत्व त्यांना अद्याप तयार करता आलेले नाही. या निवडणुकीत ७.९% मते घेत तिसऱ्या क्रमांकावर आलेले धनाढ्य अपक्ष उमेदवार मिखाईल पोखोरोव यांना पुटीन यांनी विरोधकांची मते विभाजित करण्यासाठी उभे केल्याचे राजकीय वर्तुळात बोलले जात आहे. सोविएत संघाच्या विघटनानंतर येल्तसिन यांच्या आततायी धोरणांमुळे सरकारी उपक्रम कवडीमोलाने विकण्यात आल्याने काही जन क्षणात धनाढ्य उद्योगपती झाले होते. अशा सर्वांची जनमानसातील प्रतिमा भ्रष्ट आणि लालची अशी आहे. पोखोरोव त्याच श्रेणीतील असल्याने त्यांना विरोध करणाऱ्यांची सहानुभूती साहजिकच पुटीन यांना मिळाली असावी असे विश्लेषकांचे मत आहे.

रशियाच्या सन १९९५ च्या राष्ट्राध्यक्षीय निवडणूक कायद्यानुसार, अधिकृत पक्ष किव्हा मतदारांच्या गटांना आपल्या उमेदवारांचे नाव निवडणूक आयोगाकडे नोंदवून त्यांच्या समर्थनार्थ १० लाख मतदारांच्या सह्या गोळा कराव्या लागतात. यापैकी एका प्रांतातून ७ टक्क्यांपेक्षा जास्त सह्या असू नये असा नियम आहे. फक्त एकाच शहरात/प्रांतात लोकप्रिय असलेले किव्हा एकाच वांशिक गटाचे समर्थन असलेले उमेदवार राष्ट्राध्यक्षीय निवडणुकीच्या रिंगणात उतरू नयेत यासाठी ही तरतूद करण्यात आली आहे. एकूण मतदारांपैकी ५०% मतदारांनी मतदान केले तरच निवडणूक वैध मानण्यात येते. एकूण मतदानापैकी ५० टक्क्यांहुन अधिक मते घेणारा उमेदवार विजयी ठरतो. कुणालाही ५० टक्क्यांहून अधिक मते मिळवण्यात यश आले नाही तर सर्वाधिक मते घेणाऱ्या २ उमेदवारांमध्ये मतदानाची दुसरी फेरी होते. या दुसऱ्या फेरीत मतदारांना मतदानाच्या वेळी 'दोन्हीपैकी कुणीच नाही' असा पर्यायही उपलब्ध असतो. मात्र, दुसऱ्या फेरीत ५० % मते मिळवण्याची अट नसल्याने सर्वाधिक मते घेणारा उमेदवार विजयी होतो. 'दोन्हीपैकी कुणीच नाही' या पर्यायाला सर्वाधिक मते मिळाल्यास काय होणार, या बाबत निवडणूक कायद्यात स्पष्टता आढळत नाही. राष्ट्राध्यक्षपदाचा उमेदवार जन्माने रशियन असणे गरजेचे नसले तरी उमेदवारी अर्ज भरण्याच्या निदान १० वर्षे आधीपासून तो किव्हा ती रशियन नागरिक असणे आवश्यक आहे.

एकूण ६५% मतदारांनी मतदानाचा हक्क बजावल्यानंतर, पुटीन यांना पहिल्या फेरीतच ६३.६% मते मिळाल्याने दुसऱ्या फेरीत जाण्याची नामुष्की त्यांच्यावर ओढवली नाही. पुटीन यांना पराभूत करणे शक्य नाही याची जाणीव विरोधकांना होती. त्यामुळे पहिल्या फेरीत त्यांना ५० टक्क्यांहून अधिक मते मिळू नये यावर विरोधकांनी लक्ष केंद्रित केले होते. पुटीन विरोधात कुणालाही मत द्या अशी भूमिका नागरी समाजाच्या पुटीन-विरोधी गटाने घेतली होती. दुसऱ्या फेरीचा सामना करावा लागणे यात पुटीन यांचा नैतिक पराभव होता. मात्र, मतदारांनी बदलावाऐवजी स्थैर्याला प्राधान्य देत पुटीन यांना तिसऱ्यांदा राष्ट्राध्यक्षपद बहाल केले. विरोधकांमधील एकीचा अभाव, पुटीन-विरोधी आंदोलनाचे मर्यादित महानगरी स्वरूप, पुटीन-पूर्व काळातील अनागोंदी आणि आर्थिक विवंचनेच्या आठवणी इत्यादी कारणांमुळे मतदारांचे समर्थन मिळवणे पुटीन यांना शक्य झाले. प्रचार काळात वर्तमानपत्रात लिहिलेल्या एका लेखात पुटीन यांनी म्हटले आहे, "१९९० च्या दशकात लोकशाहीच्या झेंड्याखाली आपल्याला आधुनिक सरकार मिळाले नाही, उलट अनेक गट आणि अर्धसामंती वर्गांच्या संघर्षात रशियन समाज होरपळून निघाला. आपल्याला उत्तम दर्ज्याचे राहणीमान मिळाले नाही, न्याय्य आणि स्वतंत्र समाज मिळाला नाही, उलट सामाजिक संघर्ष आणि हाल-अपेष्टा पदरी पडल्यात. सामान्य माणसांच्या हिताकडे दुर्लक्ष करणाऱ्या आणि बळजबरीने राज्य करणाऱ्या उच्चभ्रू वर्गाची सत्ता बघावयास मिळाली. आज पुन्हा रशियन समाज अस्थिरतेच्या वळणावर उभा आहे. २ किव्हा ३ चुकीची पाउले उचलल्यास पुर्वाश्रमीचे भोग परत नशिबी येणार." अशा प्रकारचा प्रचार सामान्य रशियन नागरिकांच्या हृदयाला न भिडल्यास नवल ठरावे.

६ वर्षांनी परिस्थिती अनुकूल असल्यास चौथ्यांदा राष्ट्राध्यक्षपदाची निवडणूक लढवण्याची तयारी पुटीन यांनी आतापासून दाखवली आहे. त्यात त्यांना यश आल्यास सोविएत संघाचे सर्वेसर्वा जोसेफ स्टालिन यांच्या पेक्षा जास्त काळ सर्वोच्च पदावर राहण्याच्या विक्रमाची नोंद पुटीन यांच्या नावावर होईल. मात्र, पुटीन विरोधकांनी निवडणूक निकाल मान्य करण्यास नकार देत , संसदीय निवडणुकीप्रमाणे या वेळीसुद्धा मोठ्या प्रमाणात मतदानाच्या वेळी धांदली झाल्याचे आरोप केले आहे. निवडणूक प्रक्रियेवर लक्ष ठेवणाऱ्या अनेक संस्थांनी सुद्धा या आरोपांना पुष्टी दिली आहे. पुटीन-विरोधी इंटरनेट कार्यकर्ता एलेक्शी नैवल्नीने म्हटले आहे की त्याच्या वेब साईटवर मतदानात घोटाळ्याच्या ६,००० तक्रारी प्राप्त झाल्या आहेत. गोलोस या निवडणूक प्रक्रियेवर लक्ष ठेवणाऱ्या गटाने ३,००० तक्रारी नोंदवल्या आहेत. गोलोस च्या सूत्रांनी सांगितले की प्रत्यक्षात पुटीन यांना ५०.३% मते मिळाली असावीत, पण सरकारी यंत्रणेच्या सहाय्याने पद्धतशीरपणे हा आकडा फुगवण्यात आला आहे. या पार्श्वभूमीवर, पुटीन यांना ६ वर्षांचा कार्यकाळ पूर्ण न करू देण्याचा मनोदय विरोधक व्यक्त करत आहेत. निवडणूक आयोगाने म्हटले आहे की या पूर्वी विरोधकांनी केलेल्या आरोपांची दखल घेत यावेळी १,८०,००० मतदान केंद्रांवर कॅमेरे लावण्यात आले होते आणि पारदर्शी मतपेट्या वापरण्यात आल्या होत्या.

विरोधकांच्या आंदोलनातील धार काढून घेण्यासाठी राजकीय सुधारणा लागू करणे हे पुटीन यांच्या पुढील सर्वात मोठे आव्हान आहे. त्याबरोबर, रशियाला जागतिक राजकारणात मानाचे स्थान मिळवून देण्याचा संकल्प पुटीन यांनी प्रचार काळात व्यक्त केला आहे. अमेरिकेच्या ओबामा प्रशासनाने पुटीन यांच्या निवडीला आव्हान न देण्याचे सूचित करत त्यांच्या नेतृत्वाला एक प्रकारे मान्यता दिली आहे. अमेरिकी सरकारने अद्याप अधिकृतपणे पुटीन यांचे अभिनंदन केले नसले तरी लवकरच होऊ घातलेल्या G-८ या विकसित राष्ट्रांच्या संमेलनात ओबामा आणि पुटीन यांची भेट होईल असे म्हटले आहे. सिरीया आणि इराण या दोन्ही देशांशी सुरु असलेल्या संघर्षातून तोडगा काढण्यासाठी पाश्चिमात्य देशांना रशियाच्या सहकार्याची गरज आहे. मात्र, पुटीन यांनी पूर्वीपासूनच पाश्चिमात्य देशांचे अनुकरण आणि तुष्टीकरण न करण्याचे धोरण अंमलात आणले आहे. पूर्व युरोप, मध्य आशिया आणि आर्क्टिक प्रदेश या भागात रशियाच्या हितांना सर्वोच्च प्राधान्य देण्याचे पुटीन यांचे धोरण आहे. युरोपीय संघाच्या धर्तीवर पूर्वाश्रमीच्या सोविएत गणराज्यांची आर्थिक एकजूट उभी करण्याचा महत्वाकांक्षी प्रकल्प पुटीन यांनी हाती घेतला आहे. नाटोला आळा घालण्यासाठी रशियाची चीन बरोबरची सामरिक भागीदारी मजबूत करण्यासह 'शांघाई कॉपरेशन ऑरगनायझेशन' या रशिया, चीन, कझाकस्तान, ताजिकिस्तान, किर्गिजीस्तान, उझबेकिस्तान या ६ देशांच्या संघटनेला महत्व देण्याचे पुटीन यांचे धोरण आहे. संयुक्त राष्ट्राच्या सुरक्षा परिषदेत चीन आणि रशियाने सिरीयात सरकार बदलाच्या अमेरिका आणि युरोप धार्जिण्या ठरावाला विरोध करत नजीकच्या भविष्यात पाश्चिमात्य देशांना जागतिक राजकारणात मोकळीक राहणार नाही असे सुचीतच केले आहे. पुटीन यांच्या नेतृत्वाखाली रशियाचे परराष्ट्र धोरण अधिक कणखर होत जाणार यात शंका नाही. भारताचे पुटीन यांच्या बरोबरचे संबंध आदराचे आणि सौहार्दाचे आहेत. मात्र, मागील काही वर्षात भारताच्या परराष्ट्र धोरणाचा कल पाश्चिमात्य देशांकडे झुकत असल्याने रशियाच्या आक्रमक पवित्र्यांनी भारताची अडचण होण्याची शक्यता आहे. सिरीयाबाबतच्या ठरावात भारत आणि रशियाची भूमिका एकमेकांविरुद्ध होती, तर इराण विषयी दोन्ही देश एकाच बाजूला आहेत. भारत २ वर्षांकरीता संयुक्त राष्ट्रांच्या सुरक्षा समितीचा सदस्य झाला असल्याने आगामी काळात पुटीन यांच्या रशिया बरोबरचा संवाद वाढवणे क्रमप्राप्त झाले आहे.

Thursday, March 1, 2012

चीनचे 'जमिनी' वास्तव

चीनच्या गुआंगडोंग या श्रीमंत प्रांतातील वूकान नावाच्या खेड्यातील लोकांनी डिसेंबर महिन्यात केलेल्या जनआंदोलनाने या देशातील ग्रामीण भागाचे प्रश्न पुन्हा एकदा चव्हाट्यावर आले. वूकानच्या आंदोलनात ३ कळीचे मुद्दे होते. पहिला - खेड्यांच्या सामुहिक मालकीच्या जमिनीची स्थानिक प्रशासनातर्फे परस्पर विक्री; दुसरा - जमीन विक्रीतून मिळवलेल्या रकमेचा ताळेबंद न ठेवणे; आणि तिसरा - गावकऱ्यांना उचित मोबदला न मिळणे. हे तीनही मुद्दे फक्त वूकान पुरतेच मर्यादित नाही तर संपूर्ण ग्रामीण चीनचेच चित्र त्यातून स्पष्ट होते. चीनमध्ये वेगाने औद्योगिकीकरण घडत असतांना पायाभूत सुविधांच्या निर्माणासाठी, नव्या उद्योगांसाठी आणि घरांची समस्या सोडवण्यासाठी मोठ्या प्रमाणात जमिनीची आवश्यकता आहे. एका बाजूला सरकार रस्ते, पूल, इस्पितळ, वीज-केंद्र, धरणे, इत्यादींच्या निर्माणासाठी जमीन अधिग्रहित करत आहे, तर दुसऱ्या बाजूला खाजगी उद्योजक आणि बिल्डर्स नव्या उद्योगांसाठी आणि घरांच्या निर्मितीसाठी जमिनीचा ताबा घेत आहे. या प्रक्रियेत मोठ्या प्रमाणात शेती योग्य जमीन स्वस्त किमतीत बळकावली जात आहे.

चीनच्या कायद्यांनुसार जमिनीची मालकी सामुहिकच आहे. या नुसार प्रत्येक कुटुंबाला ३० वर्षांच्या करारावर शेती करण्यासाठी जमीन दिली जाते आणि या जमिनीची परस्पर विक्री करण्यास कायद्याने बंदी आहे. आता काही कायद्यांमध्ये सुधारणा घडवून आणून शेतकरी या काळामध्ये प्रशासनाच्या परवानगीने ही जमीन तिसऱ्या पक्षाला लिज वर देऊ शकतो अशी तरतूद करण्यात आली आहे. त्याच प्रमाणे स्थानिक प्रशासनाला पुढाकार घेऊन गावातील सगळ्या लोकांच्या सहमतीने सामुहिक मालकीच्या जमिनीपैकी काही टक्के जमिनीची विक्री करता येते किव्हा काही काळासाठी जमीन लिज वर देता येते. या सगळ्या प्रक्रियेत स्थानिक प्रशासनाची भूमिका सगळ्यात महत्वाची झाली आहे. चीनने १९८० च्या दशकाच्या शेवटी स्थानिक प्रशासनाच्या निवडणुका घेणे सुरु केले. या माध्यमातून निवडून आलेल्या गाव-समितीवर स्थानिक विकासाची जबाबदारी सोपवण्यात आली. मात्र गाव-समितीला महसुलाचे मर्यादित अधिकारच दिले. नवे कर लावण्यासाठी गाव-समितीला वरिष्ठ अधिकाऱ्यांची परवानगी घेणे आवश्यक असते आणि अशी परवानगी मिळणेही तेवढेच क्लिष्ट आहे. अशा परिस्थितीत गाव-विकासासाठी निधी उभारण्यासाठी सामुहिक मालकीच्या जमिनीची विक्री करण्याचा किव्हा ती लिज वर देण्याचा पर्याय स्थानिक प्रशासनाला जास्त सोपा आणि 'लाभदायक' वाटतो. या साठी आवश्यक असलेली गावातील सगळ्या लोकांची परवानगी प्रत्यक्ष घेतली जातेच असे नाही. फक्त कागदोपत्री वरिष्ठ अधिकाऱ्यांना परवानगी घेतल्याचे दाखवण्यात येते. गावकऱ्यांची परवानगी घेतली तरी जमीन विक्रीच्या वाटाघाटीत स्थानिक प्रशासनाचीच भूमिका महत्वाची असते. स्थानिक प्रशासन लाच घेऊन स्वस्तात जमिनीची विक्री करतात, तसेच जमीन-विक्रीतून आलेल्या रकमेचा चोख हिशोबही ठेवण्यात येत नाही आणि गावकऱ्यांना योग्य मोबदलाही दिला जात नाही. दुसऱ्या बाजूला गावातील शेतीयोग्य जमीन कमी झाल्याने अनेक कुटुंबांना रोजगारासाठी शहराची वाट धरावी लागते. मात्र चीनमध्ये शहरांमध्ये काम करण्यासाठी आणि निवासासाठी वेगळा परवाना घ्यावा लागतो, जो राजकीय लागेबांधे असेल तरच मिळवणे सोपे असते. थोडक्यात शेतकऱ्यांची परिस्थिती गावात शेतीसाठी जमीन नाही आणि शहरात रोजगाराचा परवाना नाही अशी होऊन बसते.

बीजिंग-स्थित 'वर्ल्ड एंड चायना' या संस्थेतील ली फान यांच्या मते चीनच्या ६ लाख २५ हजार गावांपैकी ५०% ते ६०% गावे या समस्येने ग्रस्त आहेत. चीनच्या स्टेट कौन्सिलनेच दिलेल्या माहितीनुसार सन २०११ मध्ये ११ लाख हेक्टर जमीन उद्योग आणि पायाभूत सुविधांच्या विकासासाठी विकण्यात आली. या पैकी तब्बल ७ लाख हेक्टर जमिनीचे हस्तांतरण बेकायदेशीर पद्धतीने झाले. गेल्या २ दशकात जमीन हिरावून घेतली गेल्याने अंदाजे साडे सात कोटी लोकांनी रोजगारासाठी शहराचा आणि मुक्त आर्थिक क्षेत्रांचा मार्ग शोधला आहे.

साधारणत: ११००० लोकसंख्येच्या वूकान मध्ये सुद्धा सन १९९३ पासूनच जमिनीचे अवैध हस्तांतर सुरु होते. गावाच्या सामुहिक मालकीच्या ६३८ हेक्टर जमिनीपैकी फक्त ८८ हेक्टरच शेतीयोग्य होती आणि या पैकी ४२ हेक्टर जमीन स्थानिक प्रशासनाने टप्प्या-टप्प्याने विकली. प्रत्यक्षात स्थानिक प्रशासनाकडे ३.६ हेक्टर जमीन विकण्याचीच परवानगी होती. या व्यवहारातून स्थानिक प्रशासनाने अंदाजे ११ कोटी डॉलर्स एवढी रक्कम मिळवली, मात्र गावातील प्रत्येक व्यक्तीला मोबदल्याच्या रुपात सरासरी फक्त ८६ डॉलर्स एवढीच रक्कम देण्यात आली. गाव-समितीचा प्रमुख आणि साम्यवादी पक्षाचा स्थानिक सचिव यांनी मात्र का काळात गडगंज संपत्ती गोळा केली. पैसे आणि वरिष्ठ अधिकाऱ्यांशी असलेल्या संबंधांच्या जोरावर त्यांनी वर्षानुवर्षे आपली पदे टिकवून ठेवली. साम्यवादी पक्षाचा सचिव तर त्याच्या पदाला सन १९७० पासून चिकटलेला होता, तर गाव-समितीच्या ९ जागांपैकी ५ जागांवर २ दशकांपासून तीच तीच मंडळी निवडून येत होती.

वूकानच्या गावकऱ्यांनी स्थानिक प्रशासनाच्या गैर-व्यवहारांबाबत वरिष्ठ अधिकाऱ्यांकडे निवेदन-तक्रारी करायला सुरुवात केली. मात्र वर्ष-दिड वर्ष लोटल्यावरही काहीच कारवाई न झाल्याने गावकऱ्यांनी सप्टेंबर २०११ मध्ये आंदोलनाची कास पकडली. डिसेंबरमध्ये एका आंदोलकाचा पोलीस कोठडीत मृत्यू झाल्याने परिस्थिती चिघळली आणि संतप्त गावकऱ्यांनी स्थानिक प्रशासन आणि साम्यवादी पक्षाच्या पदाधिकाऱ्यांची वूकानमधून हकालपट्टी केली. संपूर्ण १० दिवस वूकान मध्ये साम्यवादी पक्ष आणि प्रशासनाला प्रवेश नव्हता. कडक शिस्त आणि नियंत्रणाच्या चीनच्या साम्यवादी प्रशासन प्रणालीत घडलेली ही एक अभूतपूर्व घटना होती. वूकान गाव हॉंग-कॉंगच्या जवळ असल्याने आंतरराष्ट्रीय प्रसारमाध्यमांचे प्रतिनिधी तसेच हॉंग-कॉंग आणि गुआंगडोंग प्रांतातील स्वतंत्र विचारसरणीच्या वृत्तपत्रांचे वार्ताहर पोलिसांना हुलकावणी देत आंदोलनाच्या केंद्रस्थानी पोचलेत आणि जगाला वूकानमधील उठावाच्या बातम्या कळू लागल्यात. स्वतंत्र विचारांचे अनेक उत्साही चीनी युवक देखील इंटरनेटवर वूकान मधील घडामोडींची बातमी कळल्यावर 'साम्यवादी पक्षाच्या प्रशासनाशिवायचे गाव' बघायला वूकानला पोचलेत. चीनच्या सर्वोच्च नेत्यांना या घटनेची दखल घ्यावीच लागली. अखेर गुआंगडोंग प्रांताच्या प्रशासनाला उच्च-स्तरावरून हस्तक्षेप करत गावकऱ्यांची बाजू उचलून धरत स्थानिक प्रशासनाला बडतर्फ करणे भाग पडले. त्यांच्या गैर-व्यवहारांची लगेच चौकशीही सुरु करण्यात आली आणि त्यानंतरच वूकानमधील परिस्थिती निवळली.

मागील काही वर्षात जमिनीचा मुद्दा चीनमधील सामाजिक असंतोषाचे एक मोठे कारण झाला आहे. वूकान प्रमाणेच इतर अनेक ठिकाणी लोकांनी स्थानिक प्रशासनाच्या भ्रष्टाचार आणि अरेरावी विरुद्ध आंदोलने केली. एका अंदाजानुसार चीनमध्ये गेल्या वर्षी सुमारे १८०००० सामाजिक असंतोषाच्या घटना घडल्यात. त्या पैकी बहुतांश स्थानिक प्रशासनाच्या गैर-व्यवहाराविरुद्ध होत्या ज्या मध्ये सामुहिक मालकीच्या जमिनीची परस्पर विक्री हा सगळ्यात मोठा मुद्दा होता. चीनच्या आर्थिक प्रगतीचे चक्र इथेच अडकण्याची शक्यता आहे. औद्योगिकीकरण आणि शेती यामध्ये तारतम्य राखण्याचे यशस्वी धोरण निर्धारित करणे चीनच्या साम्यवादी पक्षाला अजून जमलेले नाही. त्यामुळे त्यांनी या बाबतीत प्रांतांना आणि स्थानिक प्रशासनाला स्वायत्तता दिली आहे. मात्र प्रांतीय आणि स्थानिक सरकारे खाजगी उद्योग आणि बिल्डर्स यांच्याशी साटेलोटे करत सर्रास अवैध पद्धतीने जमिनीची विक्री करत आहे. आज चीनमधील पहिल्या १० गर्भ-श्रीमंत व्यक्तींपैकी ८ जन जमिनीच्या व्यवहारात गुंतलेले आहे.

प्रशासन आणि बिल्डर्स यांच्या अरेरावीविरुद्ध न्यायालयांचे दार ठोठावण्याचा पर्याय चीनी जनतेला फारसा उपयुक्त नाही कारण कागदावर न्यायिक सुधारणा झाल्या असल्या तरी प्रत्यक्षात साम्यवादी पक्षाच्या स्थानिक पुढाऱ्यांचा आणि त्याद्वारे स्थानिक प्रशासनाचा न्यायिक प्रक्रियेत हस्तक्षेप होण्याचे प्रमाण फार जास्त आहे. त्यामुळे लोकांचा कल वरिष्ठ अधिकाऱ्यांना निवेदन-तक्रारी देण्यावरच जास्त आहे. त्यातून न्याय न मिळाल्यास वरिष्ठ प्रशासनाच्याच दरबारी आंदोलन करायची आणि त्यांना स्थानिक प्रशासनावर कारवाई करण्यास भाग पाडायचे. यामध्ये चीनच्या सर्वोच्च नेत्यांची आणि साम्यवादी पक्षाचीसुद्धा स्तुती करत रहायची असा आंदोलनांमध्ये पायंडाच पडला आहे. सामान्य नागरिकांच्या बीजिंग मधील नेत्यांकडून विशेषत: खुप अपेक्षा असतात आणि वूकान मध्ये बघितल्याप्रमाणे केंद्रीय पातळीवरचे नेते स्वत:ची लोकप्रियता टिकवण्यासाठी अधून-मधून स्थानिक प्रशासनाविरुद्ध कारवाई सुद्धा करतात. मात्र अशा पद्धतीने सर्वत्र बोकाळलेला भ्रष्टाचार निपटून काढणे शक्य नाही आणि त्याशिवाय लोकांचा विश्वास टिकवून ठेवणेही शक्य नाही याची जाणीव साम्यवादी पक्षाच्या केंद्रीय नेत्यांना आहे. मात्र मोठ्या पातळीवर सुधारणा घडवून आणत प्रशासनामध्ये पारदर्शकता आणण्याचे आणि न्यायालयीन प्रक्रिया बळकट करण्याचे धाडससुद्धा साम्यवादी पक्षाच्या नेत्यांना दाखवता येत नाही. त्यामुळे एकीकडे भ्रष्टाचाराविरुद्ध भावनिक आव्हान करायचे आणि दुसरीकडे भ्रष्टाचारी अधिकाऱ्यांविरुद्ध निवडक कारवाई करायची असे धोरण चीनच्या केंद्रीय नेत्यांनी स्वीकारले आहे. त्याच बरोबर सामाजिक असंतोषातून होणाऱ्या वेगवेगळ्या आंदोलनातून राष्ट्रीय-प्रांतीय अथवा स्थानिक पातळीवर कुठल्याही प्रकारची संघटना उभी राहणार नाही याचीही व्यवस्थित काळजी साम्यवादी प्रशासनाने घेतली आहे. त्यामुळे दोन शेजारी-शेजारी गावातील आंदोलनांचा एकमेकांशी कसलाही संबंध आणि समन्वय नसतो. चीनमध्ये स्थानिक पातळीवर लोकांच्या असंतोषाला वाचा फुटत असली तरी या आंदोलनांना राष्ट्रीय पातळीवर वैचारिक बळ मिळालेले नाही. साम्यवादी राजवटीच्या विरोधातील विचारवंत आणि स्थानिक आंदोलक यांच्यात सुद्धा कमालीची तफावत आहे. विचारवंतांना एक-पक्षीय राजवटी ऐवजी बहु-पक्षीय लोकशाही चीनमध्ये रुजवायची आहे तर वूकान सारख्या स्थानिक आंदोलकांना त्यांचे रोजचे जीवनमानाचे प्रश्न जास्त महत्वाचे वाटतात. त्यामुळे त्यांच्यामध्ये कसलाही वैचारिक सेतू तयार झालेला नाही. वूकानच्या संदर्भात घडलेली आशादायक बाब म्हणजे वूकानची बातमी पूर्णपणे दाबून टाकण्यात चीनच्या प्रशासनाला आलेले अपयश. इंटरनेट, मोबाईल फोन आणि प्रसारमाध्यमांच्या विस्ताराचा परिणाम वूकानमध्ये बघायला मिळाला. चीनच्या सरकारी माध्यमांनी जरी वूकान ला काही स्थान दिले नसले तरी इंटरनेट आणि इतर माध्यमातून तिथल्या घडामोडी चीनच्या लोकांपर्यंत पोचल्यात आणि त्यामुळे चीनच्या सरकारवर शांतीपूर्ण मार्गाने तोडगा काढण्याचा दबावही वाढला.

चीनमध्ये सन २०१२ च्या अखेरीस नेतृत्व बदल होणार आहे. नवे राष्ट्राध्यक्ष आणि नवे पंतप्रधान याशिवाय पोलिट ब्युरोच्या स्थायी समितीमध्ये ९ पैकी ७ नवे चेहरे येणार आहेत. चीनचे येऊ घातलेले नवे नेतृत्व वुकान आणि या सारख्या सामाजिक असंतोषाच्या घटनांवर लक्ष ठेऊन असणारच कारण माओ-त्से-तुंग ने चीनी क्रांतीच्या काळात म्हटलेच होते की 'एक ठिणगीसुद्धा संपूर्ण जंगलभर वणवा पेटवण्यास कारणीभूत होऊ शकते’.